SYSTEM AND METHOD FOR QUANTIFYING PREDICTION UNCERTAINTY

A method for risk analysis, comprising: (i) receiving a plurality of features about a subject; (ii) analyzing the features using risk prediction models to generate risk scores; (iii) determining, using a distillation model, mean and variance among the risk scores; (iv) generating a single risk score...

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Format Patent
LanguageEnglish
Published 02.06.2021
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Summary:A method for risk analysis, comprising: (i) receiving a plurality of features about a subject; (ii) analyzing the features using risk prediction models to generate risk scores; (iii) determining, using a distillation model, mean and variance among the risk scores; (iv) generating a single risk score and a risk score confidence interval; (v) determining, based on a feature impact score for each feature, an effect of one or more missing or defective features on the generated risk score confidence interval, wherein the system identifies a missing or defective feature for reporting if that feature would narrow the generated risk score confidence interval if it were not missing or not defective; (vi) generating a report comprising the single risk score and the risk score confidence interval, and further comprising at least one or more of the identified missing or defective features; and (vii) providing the report.