Cadeia agroindustrial e transmissão de preços do algodão ao consumidor brasileiro

• Published in: Revista de Economia e Sociologia Rural (RESR) Vol. 59; no. 3; pp. 1 - 18
• Main Authors: Alves, Lucilio Rogerio Aparecido, Sanches, André Luis Ramos, Osaki, Mauro, Barros, Geraldo Sant’Ana de Camargo, Adami, Andréia Cristina de Oliveira
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: Portuguese
• Published: 01.01.2021
• Edition: 2541
• Subjects: autoregressive vectors; Crop Production/Industries; inflation; price shocks; Production Economics; textile chain
• ISSN: 1806-9479
• DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.341068

This paper has two main objectives. Firstly, to analyze the flow of transactions in the cotton value chain, identifying all steps from the purchase of inputs, followed by agricultural production, processing, including industrial uses of fiber and cottonseed. Secondly, to identify, through applied time series models, the direction and speed of transmission of shocks in cotton fiber prices over clothing prices to the final consumer. Seed cotton undergoes processing, generating cottonseed, cotton fiber, fibril, and fiber by-products. The cottonseed is intended for animal feed, crushing, and/or delinting. Cotton fiber has industrial uses and is one that adds the most added value. Spinning is the first link of the textile industry, following, together with synthetic fibers, to produce yarn, to weaving, knitting, clothing, obtaining the garments and accessories, or bed, table, and bath line or even products, bags, etc., which are sold in the wholesale and retail markets. Then, we want to understand how advances in efficiency in cotton production reached the Brazilian consumer. It is about evaluating, over time, the transmission of prices of the feather over the prices of yarns, weaving, clothing, and clothing at retail. Data from January 2000 to December 2018 are used. The results showed a greater relationship between cotton fiber price and yarn prices and a low impact on subsequent links. It is understood that the low interrelation of cotton prices with the prices of other products in the textile chain is the result of the significant volume and value of imports of synthetic fibers and manufactured products.