Analysis and Dynamic Prediction of Ecological Environment Development Capacity of Qingshui River Basin

• Published in: Asian agricultural research Vol. 10; no. 5; pp. 44 - 47
• Main Author: XU,Rongmin
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: 20.05.2018
• Edition: 1812
• Subjects: Agribusiness; EF model, DC model, GM(1, 1), Qingshui River Basin
• ISSN: 1943-9903
• DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.277971

The Ecological Footprint and Development Capacity Model were used to analyze the ecological environment development capability of the Qingshui River Basin from 2000 to 2015. On this basis, the ecological environment development capacity of the Qingshui River Basin from 2016 to 2020 was dynamically predicted using the GM(1, 1) model. The results showed that the Qingshui River Basin has a strong capacity for sustainable development of the ecological environment, but it is increasingly stressed by the ecological carrying capacity. The potential unsustainability of the ecological environment is facing severe challenges. In the next 5 years, the development capacity of the ecological environment will show a growth trend, but the increase is not large, reflecting the limited development potential. Its capacity for sustainable development needs to be improved.