Analysis of the trajectories of households benefitting from the Oportunidades program

• Published in: Estudios económicos de el Colegio de México Vol. 27; no. 2; pp. 295 - 346
• Main Authors: Campos Vázquez, Raymundo M, Chiapa, Carlos, Santillán, Alma S
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: Spanish
• Published: 01.07.2012
• Subjects: Education; Eligibility; Household budgets; Household income; Households; Mexico; Oportunidades; Survey analysis
• ISSN: 0188-6916

ABSTRACT IN SPANISH: Cuando los hogares beneficiarios del programa Oportunidades son re-encuestados puede ocurrir que: (i) mantengan su elegibilidad, (ii) pasen a un esquema con una menor transferencia monetaria o (iii) dejen de ser elegibles. Se utilizan registros administrativos de dicho programa para presentar evidencia con respecto a qué factores determinan que un hogar pase de un estado de elegibilidad a otro. Hogares muy pobres o que están en localidades muy marginadas tienen baja movilidad entre estados de elegibilidad. La educación del jefe y el número de niños en el hogar tienen el mayor peso en determinar elegibilidad en el corto plazo. // ABSTRACT IN ENGLISH: When beneficiary households of the Oportunidades program are surveyed again, it can occur that: (i) they keep their eligibility, (ii) they keep their eligibility with a lower cash transfer, or (iii) they are not eligible anymore. We use administrative records of the program to show what factors determine transitions from one state to other. Very poor households or those that live in very poor localities have low mobility among eligibility states. The education of the households' head and number of children in the household have the greatest weight to determine eligibility in the short run.