Multivariate Spatiotemporal Hawkes Processes and Network Reconstruction

There is often latent network structure in spatial and temporal data and the tools of network analysis can yield fascinating insights into such data. In this paper, we develop a nonparametric method for network reconstruction from spatiotemporal data sets using multivariate Hawkes processes. In cont...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inarXiv.org
Main Authors Yuan, Baichuan, Li, Hao, Bertozzi, Andrea L, Brantingham, P Jeffrey, Porter, Mason A
Format Paper
LanguageEnglish
Published Ithaca Cornell University Library, arXiv.org 15.11.2018
Subjects
Crime
Datasets
Digital media
Multivariate analysis
Network analysis
Networks
Reconstruction
Spatiotemporal data
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Summary:There is often latent network structure in spatial and temporal data and the tools of network analysis can yield fascinating insights into such data. In this paper, we develop a nonparametric method for network reconstruction from spatiotemporal data sets using multivariate Hawkes processes. In contrast to prior work on network reconstruction with point-process models, which has often focused on exclusively temporal information, our approach uses both temporal and spatial information and does not assume a specific parametric form of network dynamics. This leads to an effective way of recovering an underlying network. We illustrate our approach using both synthetic networks and networks constructed from real-world data sets (a location-based social media network, a narrative of crime events, and violent gang crimes). Our results demonstrate that, in comparison to using only temporal data, our spatiotemporal approach yields improved network reconstruction, providing a basis for meaningful subsequent analysis --- such as community structure and motif analysis --- of the reconstructed networks.
ISSN:2331-8422