Working Paper 10-07 - Foreign trade in Modtrim

This working paper gives an overview of the Modtrim team's recent research in the field of Belgian exports and export markets. In the first chapter a new leading indicator is introduced as a supplementary tool to determine a growth profile for Belgium's potential export markets in the firs...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inIDEAS Working Paper Series from RePEc
Main Authors De Ketelbutter, Bart, Dobbelaere, Ludovic, Vanhorebeek, Filip
Format Paper
LanguageEnglish
Published St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 01.01.2007
Subjects
Exports
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Summary:This working paper gives an overview of the Modtrim team's recent research in the field of Belgian exports and export markets. In the first chapter a new leading indicator is introduced as a supplementary tool to determine a growth profile for Belgium's potential export markets in the first quarters of the forecasting period. In the second chapter, an attempt is made to improve forecasts of Belgium's exports by breaking down the model equation into a goods and a services component. Finally, the third chapter reveals that (a lack of) competitiveness is probably not the only reason for the losses of export market share in Belgium and in some of its main trading partners in the past 25 years.