Delphi expert panels in the scenariobased strategic planning of agriculture
Purpose This article seeks to present approaches on the utilisation of expert information in strategic planning practices. Designmethodologyapproach The article emphasises alternative scenario development for the bases of decision making. This is done through an evaluation of Delphi studies and thei...
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Published in | Foresight (Cambridge) Vol. 8; no. 1; pp. 66 - 81 |
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Main Authors | , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
Published |
Emerald Group Publishing Limited
01.01.2006
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Subjects | |
Online Access | Get full text |
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Abstract | Purpose This article seeks to present approaches on the utilisation of expert information in strategic planning practices. Designmethodologyapproach The article emphasises alternative scenario development for the bases of decision making. This is done through an evaluation of Delphi studies and their feasibility for scenario construction. As an application of the information processes, both narrow and broad expert information processes are presented as alternative sources for solutions in public sector strategic planning. Findings Basically, there are two alternative ways to utilise Delphi studies in strategic planning and decision making a broad expert information process BEIP model and a narrow expert information process NEIP model. Practical implications As a broad process, an example is presented of the alternative future outcomes and the argumentation around it in the share of genetically modified plant varieties in commercial farming in Finland. Originalityvalue This theoretical review contributes to the discussions of the linkages between the use of expert information, the scenario planning and the strategic planning processes. |
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AbstractList | Purpose This article seeks to present approaches on the utilisation of expert information in strategic planning practices. Designmethodologyapproach The article emphasises alternative scenario development for the bases of decision making. This is done through an evaluation of Delphi studies and their feasibility for scenario construction. As an application of the information processes, both narrow and broad expert information processes are presented as alternative sources for solutions in public sector strategic planning. Findings Basically, there are two alternative ways to utilise Delphi studies in strategic planning and decision making a broad expert information process BEIP model and a narrow expert information process NEIP model. Practical implications As a broad process, an example is presented of the alternative future outcomes and the argumentation around it in the share of genetically modified plant varieties in commercial farming in Finland. Originalityvalue This theoretical review contributes to the discussions of the linkages between the use of expert information, the scenario planning and the strategic planning processes. |
Author | Kaivooja, Jari Aakkula, Jyrki Rikkonen, Pasi |
Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Pasi surname: Rikkonen fullname: Rikkonen, Pasi organization: MTT, Agrifood Research Finland, Economic Research MTTL – sequence: 2 givenname: Jari surname: Kaivooja fullname: Kaivooja, Jari organization: Finland Futures Research Centre, Finland – sequence: 3 givenname: Jyrki surname: Aakkula fullname: Aakkula, Jyrki organization: University of Helsinki, Finland |
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SubjectTerms | Agriculture Delphi method Finland Forecasting Generation and dissemination of information Strategic planning |
Title | Delphi expert panels in the scenariobased strategic planning of agriculture |
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