DEVICE FOR PROBABILITY FORECASTS, ENERGY TRANSMISSION AND/OR ENERGY DISTRIBUTION NETWORK

• Main Authors: Amthor Arvid, Reischböck Markus, Duckheim Mathias
• Format: Patent
• Language: English
• Published: 02.11.2017
• Subjects: CALCULATING; CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTINGELECTRIC POWER; COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS; COMPUTING; CONTROL OR REGULATING SYSTEMS IN GENERAL; CONTROLLING; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER; COUNTING; ELECTRICITY; FUNCTIONAL ELEMENTS OF SUCH SYSTEMS; GENERATION; MONITORING OR TESTING ARRANGEMENTS FOR SUCH SYSTEMS ORELEMENTS; PHYSICS; REGULATING; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY

Systems and methods for probability forecasts and an energy transmission and/or energy distribution network are provided. Operational management may be carried out using a network control system with systematic consideration of forecast uncertainties. The probability of a distribution network being operable in a stable manner (e.g., with N-1 certainty) in a planning period is included. The system includes a forecaster for forecasts for a planning period, a forecast analyzer connected to the forecasts from the at least one forecaster, and elements for further information for outputting estimated forecast uncertainties. The system also includes a stability probability analyzer connected to the forecasts from the at least one forecaster, the estimated forecast uncertainties from the forecast analyzer, and elements for further information for outputting at least one item of information relating to an N-1 stability of the distribution network in the planning period.