Road surface technical condition prediction method

• Main Authors: YU LIYUN, LU YANG, PAN YULI, WANG SHIWEI, CAO JIANG, WANG CHAOYING
• Format: Patent
• Language: Chinese; English
• Published: 02.06.2020
• Subjects: CALCULATING; COMPUTING; COUNTING; DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES; PHYSICS; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR

The invention discloses a road surface technical condition prediction method, and relates to the field of road surface comprehensive maintenance. The method comprises the steps: acquiring historical technical conditions of all road sections in a target area road network within a preset annual range, and calculating an initial technical condition distribution matrix of the target area road networkaccording to the historical technical conditions; calculating a first transition probability matrix of technical condition distribution of the target area road network under the condition that the target area road network is not maintained; calculating and obtaining a second transition probability matrix of the technical condition distribution of the target area road network under the condition that the target area road network is maintained according to the maintenance mode; and calculating and obtaining the road surface technical condition of the preset year. According to the method, deep analysis and effective util