Unit Root Test With One Endogenous Structural Break Evidence from Indonesian Time Series Data

This paper examines the robustness of the ADF (Augmented Dickey-Fuller) unit root test to the presence of one structural break. The ADF test results show one variables out of six to be stationary. To check their robustness, two separate additive outlier (AO) models are employed: one allowing for one...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inEconomic journal of emerging markets Vol. 11; no. 3
Main Author Akhsyim Afandi
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Universitas Islam Indonesia 01.06.2009
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Summary:This paper examines the robustness of the ADF (Augmented Dickey-Fuller) unit root test to the presence of one structural break. The ADF test results show one variables out of six to be stationary. To check their robustness, two separate additive outlier (AO) models are employed: one allowing for one endogenously-determined break in the intercept and the other in the trend. These two tests can not reject the unit root null hypothesis for all the vari-ables. However, when an innovational outlier (IO) model, that allows for one endogenously-determined break is estimated, the null hypothesis can be rejected for 3 more series. The estimated break dates mostly correspond to the 1998 financial crisis in Indonesia. Keywords: unit root; stationarity; structural break, additive & innovational outlier JEL classification: C1; C22
ISSN:2086-3128
2502-180X