ESTIMATION OF THE PREVALENCE OF TUBERCULOSIS INFECTION IN THE 1950s IN TOKYO
[Purpose] We estimated the prevalence of tuberculosis infection in the 1950s in the urban area of Tokyo using results of the tuberculin skin test (TST) in infants and children. [Subject and methods] We analyzed prevalence of tuberculosis using the results of the TST in 728 children (5 m. o. -24m. o....
Saved in:
| Published in | Kekkaku Vol. 83; no. 7; pp. 503 - 506 |
|---|---|
| Main Authors | , , |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | Japanese |
| Published |
Japan
JAPANESE SOCIETY FOR TUBERCULOSIS
01.07.2008
|
| Subjects | |
| Online Access | Get full text |
| ISSN | 0022-9776 1884-2410 |
| DOI | 10.11400/kekkaku1923.83.503 |
Cover
| Abstract | [Purpose] We estimated the prevalence of tuberculosis infection in the 1950s in the urban area of Tokyo using results of the tuberculin skin test (TST) in infants and children. [Subject and methods] We analyzed prevalence of tuberculosis using the results of the TST in 728 children (5 m. o. -24m. o. ) without BCG vaccination in 1954 in Koto Ward, Tokyo. [Results] Assuming that the sensitivity and specifi city of the TST were 95% and 98%, respectively, the prevalence of TB was estimated to be 2% (95% C. I., 0.4-4.3%) among 448infants under 12 m. o. (mean age 0.69 y. o, ), and 16% (95%C. I., 11.9-21.5%) among 280 children aged 12 m. o. -24 m. o. (mean age 1.44 y. o. ). [Conclusion] Being different from the current situation of tuberculosis, the risk of infection among infants was high in 1950s in Japan, therefore, it was considered that the prevalence of tuberculosis infection rose rapidly among infants in their early period after birth. Also, the risk of infection in urban areas was higher comparing with the average national rate at that time_ |
|---|---|
| AbstractList | [Purpose] We estimated the prevalence of tuberculosis infection in the 1950s in the urban area of Tokyo using results of the tuberculin skin test (TST) in infants and children. [Subject and methods] We analyzed prevalence of tuberculosis using the results of the TST in 728 children (5 m. o. -24m. o. ) without BCG vaccination in 1954 in Koto Ward, Tokyo. [Results] Assuming that the sensitivity and specifi city of the TST were 95% and 98%, respectively, the prevalence of TB was estimated to be 2% (95% C. I., 0.4-4.3%) among 448infants under 12 m. o. (mean age 0.69 y. o, ), and 16% (95%C. I., 11.9-21.5%) among 280 children aged 12 m. o. -24 m. o. (mean age 1.44 y. o. ). [Conclusion] Being different from the current situation of tuberculosis, the risk of infection among infants was high in 1950s in Japan, therefore, it was considered that the prevalence of tuberculosis infection rose rapidly among infants in their early period after birth. Also, the risk of infection in urban areas was higher comparing with the average national rate at that time_ We estimated the prevalence of tuberculosis infection in the 1950s in the urban area of Tokyo using results of the tuberculin skin test (TST) in infants and children.PURPOSEWe estimated the prevalence of tuberculosis infection in the 1950s in the urban area of Tokyo using results of the tuberculin skin test (TST) in infants and children.We analyzed prevalence of tuberculosis using the results of the TST in 728 children (5 m.o.-24 m.o.) without BCG vaccination in 1954 in Koto Ward, Tokyo.SUBJECT AND METHODSWe analyzed prevalence of tuberculosis using the results of the TST in 728 children (5 m.o.-24 m.o.) without BCG vaccination in 1954 in Koto Ward, Tokyo.Assuming that the sensitivity and specificity of the TST were 95% and 98%, respectively, the prevalence of TB was estimated to be 2% (95% C.I., 0.4-4.3%) among 448 infants under 12 m.o. (mean age 0.69 y.o.), and 16% (95% C.I., 11.9-21.5%) among 280 children aged 12 m.o.-24 m.o. (mean age 1.44 y.o.).RESULTSAssuming that the sensitivity and specificity of the TST were 95% and 98%, respectively, the prevalence of TB was estimated to be 2% (95% C.I., 0.4-4.3%) among 448 infants under 12 m.o. (mean age 0.69 y.o.), and 16% (95% C.I., 11.9-21.5%) among 280 children aged 12 m.o.-24 m.o. (mean age 1.44 y.o.).Being different from the current situation of tuberculosis, the risk of infection among infants was high in 1950s in Japan, therefore, it was considered that the prevalence of tuberculosis infection rose rapidly among infants in their early period after birth. Also, the risk of infection in urban areas was higher comparing with the average national rate at that time.CONCLUSIONBeing different from the current situation of tuberculosis, the risk of infection among infants was high in 1950s in Japan, therefore, it was considered that the prevalence of tuberculosis infection rose rapidly among infants in their early period after birth. Also, the risk of infection in urban areas was higher comparing with the average national rate at that time. We estimated the prevalence of tuberculosis infection in the 1950s in the urban area of Tokyo using results of the tuberculin skin test (TST) in infants and children. We analyzed prevalence of tuberculosis using the results of the TST in 728 children (5 m.o.-24 m.o.) without BCG vaccination in 1954 in Koto Ward, Tokyo. Assuming that the sensitivity and specificity of the TST were 95% and 98%, respectively, the prevalence of TB was estimated to be 2% (95% C.I., 0.4-4.3%) among 448 infants under 12 m.o. (mean age 0.69 y.o.), and 16% (95% C.I., 11.9-21.5%) among 280 children aged 12 m.o.-24 m.o. (mean age 1.44 y.o.). Being different from the current situation of tuberculosis, the risk of infection among infants was high in 1950s in Japan, therefore, it was considered that the prevalence of tuberculosis infection rose rapidly among infants in their early period after birth. Also, the risk of infection in urban areas was higher comparing with the average national rate at that time. |
| Author | WATASE, Hirotoshi INOGUCHI, Chiyo KOIKE, Rika |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 fullname: KOIKE, Rika organization: Joto Health Consultation Bureau – sequence: 1 fullname: INOGUCHI, Chiyo organization: Koto Public Health Center – sequence: 1 fullname: WATASE, Hirotoshi organization: Joto South Health Consultation Burea |
| BackLink | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18709967$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed |
| BookMark | eNpN0F9PgzAQAPDGzLg59wlMDE--MVuulPZxErYREczGTHwiBYpuMDb58-C3l7C5eA-93OWXXnu3aFAeSoXQPcFTQijGT7nKc5m3RBgw5TA1MVyhEeGc6gYleIBGGBuGLiyLDdGkrne4C4YNalo3aEi4hYVg1gh5zjp0X2ehG_haMNfCpaO9rZz3mef4ttN3Ns_Oyt54wdpda64_d-zeun5viTBx3RfBy0dwh64zWdRqcs5jFM6d0F7qXrBw7Zmn77r5jZ5C97QMSyOVLMMKeGpkDDIgQJnFM54YZkypMKmUOAZIIaacCTNlSmYACsbo8XTtsTp8t6puov22TlRRyFId2jpigoKgpujgwxm28V6l0bHa7mX1E_19vwOLE9jVjfxUFyCrZpsUKvq35IhDZJ2ObtcXkXzJKlIl_AJOgXJB |
| ContentType | Journal Article |
| Copyright | THE JAPANESE SOCIETY FOR TUBERCULOSIS |
| Copyright_xml | – notice: THE JAPANESE SOCIETY FOR TUBERCULOSIS |
| DBID | CGR CUY CVF ECM EIF NPM 7X8 |
| DOI | 10.11400/kekkaku1923.83.503 |
| DatabaseName | Medline MEDLINE MEDLINE (Ovid) MEDLINE MEDLINE PubMed MEDLINE - Academic |
| DatabaseTitle | MEDLINE Medline Complete MEDLINE with Full Text PubMed MEDLINE (Ovid) MEDLINE - Academic |
| DatabaseTitleList | MEDLINE - Academic MEDLINE |
| Database_xml | – sequence: 1 dbid: NPM name: PubMed url: https://proxy.k.utb.cz/login?url=http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?db=PubMed sourceTypes: Index Database – sequence: 2 dbid: EIF name: MEDLINE url: https://proxy.k.utb.cz/login?url=https://www.webofscience.com/wos/medline/basic-search sourceTypes: Index Database |
| DeliveryMethod | fulltext_linktorsrc |
| EISSN | 1884-2410 |
| EndPage | 506 |
| ExternalDocumentID | 18709967 article_kekkaku1923_83_7_83_7_503_article_char_en |
| Genre | Historical Article English Abstract Journal Article |
| GeographicLocations | Tokyo |
| GeographicLocations_xml | – name: Tokyo |
| GroupedDBID | 53G ALMA_UNASSIGNED_HOLDINGS JSF KQ8 RJT CGR CUY CVF ECM EIF J8S NPM ZXP 7X8 |
| ID | FETCH-LOGICAL-j245t-d3022f0a2da6f0e38d2f63f3134678f8c25b44954aa0b33d3b48695d6eaf33e3 |
| ISSN | 0022-9776 |
| IngestDate | Fri Jul 11 07:11:01 EDT 2025 Wed Feb 19 01:51:49 EST 2025 Wed Sep 03 05:49:55 EDT 2025 |
| IsDoiOpenAccess | true |
| IsOpenAccess | true |
| IsPeerReviewed | false |
| IsScholarly | true |
| Issue | 7 |
| Language | Japanese |
| LinkModel | OpenURL |
| MergedId | FETCHMERGED-LOGICAL-j245t-d3022f0a2da6f0e38d2f63f3134678f8c25b44954aa0b33d3b48695d6eaf33e3 |
| Notes | ObjectType-Article-2 SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1 ObjectType-Feature-1 content type line 23 |
| OpenAccessLink | https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/kekkaku1923/83/7/83_7_503/_article/-char/en |
| PMID | 18709967 |
| PQID | 69439459 |
| PQPubID | 23479 |
| PageCount | 4 |
| ParticipantIDs | proquest_miscellaneous_69439459 pubmed_primary_18709967 jstage_primary_article_kekkaku1923_83_7_83_7_503_article_char_en |
| PublicationCentury | 2000 |
| PublicationDate | 2008-07-00 |
| PublicationDateYYYYMMDD | 2008-07-01 |
| PublicationDate_xml | – month: 07 year: 2008 text: 2008-07-00 |
| PublicationDecade | 2000 |
| PublicationPlace | Japan |
| PublicationPlace_xml | – name: Japan |
| PublicationTitle | Kekkaku |
| PublicationTitleAlternate | Kekkaku |
| PublicationYear | 2008 |
| Publisher | JAPANESE SOCIETY FOR TUBERCULOSIS |
| Publisher_xml | – name: JAPANESE SOCIETY FOR TUBERCULOSIS |
| References | 15) 青木正和: 結核感染をめぐる諸問題(1). 結核. 1988; 63: 33-38. 9) 岩崎学: 「数値計算法人門」, 第1版, 朝倉書店, 東京, 2004. 6) Enoe C, Georgiadis MP, Johnson WO: Estimation of sensitivity and specificity of diagnostic tests and disease prevalence when the true disease state is unknown. Prey Vet Med. 2000; 45: 61-81. 5) Hunink M. Glasziou P. Siegel J, et al.: Decision Making in Health and Medicine: Integrating Evidence and Value s. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2001. 2) Gart J. Buck A: Comparison of a screening lest and a reference test in epidemiologic studies. II. A probabilistic m odel for the comparison of diagnostic tests. Am J Epide m iol. 1966; 83 593-602. 7) 渡部洋; 「ベイズ統計学入門」, 第1版, 福村出版東京, 1999. 14) 青木正和: 結核の感染(III). 結核. 2005; 80: 401-411. 11) 鳥尾忠男: [結核病学II」疫学・管理編, 第1版. 結核予防会, 東京, 1998. 13) 青木正和: 医師・看護職のための結核病学. [感染・発病の診断」, 第2版, 結核予防会, 策京, 2004. 1) 青木正和: 医師・看護職のための結核病掌, 「結核対策史」, 第1版, 結核予防会, 東京, 2004. 12) Styblo K, Dankova D, Drapela J, et al.: Epidemiological and clinical study of tuberculosis in the dis trict of Kolin, Czechoslovakia. Bulletin of the World Health Organiz ation. 1967; 37: 819-874. 8) Hogg R, Craig A: Introduction to Mathematical Statistics, 6th ed., Prentice Hall, New Jersey, 2005. 4) Rogan J, Gladen B: Estimating prevalence from the results of a screening test. Am J Epidemiol. 1978; 107: 71-76. 3) Levy S. Kass A: Three-population model for sequential screening for bacteriuria. Am J Epidemiol. 1970; 91: 148-154. 10) 森亨: 結核感染をめぐる諸問題(2), 結核・1988; 63: 39-48. 16) 大森正子: わが国における結核の根絶年の予測. 結核. 1991; 66: 819-828. |
| References_xml | – reference: 2) Gart J. Buck A: Comparison of a screening lest and a reference test in epidemiologic studies. II. A probabilistic m odel for the comparison of diagnostic tests. Am J Epide m iol. 1966; 83 593-602. – reference: 11) 鳥尾忠男: [結核病学II」疫学・管理編, 第1版. 結核予防会, 東京, 1998. – reference: 7) 渡部洋; 「ベイズ統計学入門」, 第1版, 福村出版東京, 1999. – reference: 6) Enoe C, Georgiadis MP, Johnson WO: Estimation of sensitivity and specificity of diagnostic tests and disease prevalence when the true disease state is unknown. Prey Vet Med. 2000; 45: 61-81. – reference: 14) 青木正和: 結核の感染(III). 結核. 2005; 80: 401-411. – reference: 16) 大森正子: わが国における結核の根絶年の予測. 結核. 1991; 66: 819-828. – reference: 10) 森亨: 結核感染をめぐる諸問題(2), 結核・1988; 63: 39-48. – reference: 12) Styblo K, Dankova D, Drapela J, et al.: Epidemiological and clinical study of tuberculosis in the dis trict of Kolin, Czechoslovakia. Bulletin of the World Health Organiz ation. 1967; 37: 819-874. – reference: 1) 青木正和: 医師・看護職のための結核病掌, 「結核対策史」, 第1版, 結核予防会, 東京, 2004. – reference: 9) 岩崎学: 「数値計算法人門」, 第1版, 朝倉書店, 東京, 2004. – reference: 4) Rogan J, Gladen B: Estimating prevalence from the results of a screening test. Am J Epidemiol. 1978; 107: 71-76. – reference: 8) Hogg R, Craig A: Introduction to Mathematical Statistics, 6th ed., Prentice Hall, New Jersey, 2005. – reference: 3) Levy S. Kass A: Three-population model for sequential screening for bacteriuria. Am J Epidemiol. 1970; 91: 148-154. – reference: 5) Hunink M. Glasziou P. Siegel J, et al.: Decision Making in Health and Medicine: Integrating Evidence and Value s. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2001. – reference: 13) 青木正和: 医師・看護職のための結核病学. [感染・発病の診断」, 第2版, 結核予防会, 策京, 2004. – reference: 15) 青木正和: 結核感染をめぐる諸問題(1). 結核. 1988; 63: 33-38. |
| SSID | ssj0000602457 ssib000940384 ssib006573461 ssib005879687 ssib058493453 ssib008799520 |
| Score | 1.696104 |
| Snippet | [Purpose] We estimated the prevalence of tuberculosis infection in the 1950s in the urban area of Tokyo using results of the tuberculin skin test (TST) in... We estimated the prevalence of tuberculosis infection in the 1950s in the urban area of Tokyo using results of the tuberculin skin test (TST) in infants and... |
| SourceID | proquest pubmed jstage |
| SourceType | Aggregation Database Index Database Publisher |
| StartPage | 503 |
| SubjectTerms | Annual risk of infection Bayes formula Child, Preschool Children Female History, 20th Century Humans Infant Male Prevalence Tokyo - epidemiology Tuberculosis Tuberculosis - epidemiology Tuberculosis - history |
| Title | ESTIMATION OF THE PREVALENCE OF TUBERCULOSIS INFECTION IN THE 1950s IN TOKYO |
| URI | https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/kekkaku1923/83/7/83_7_503/_article/-char/en https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18709967 https://www.proquest.com/docview/69439459 |
| Volume | 83 |
| hasFullText | 1 |
| inHoldings | 1 |
| isFullTextHit | |
| isPrint | |
| ispartofPNX | Kekkaku(Tuberculosis), 2008/07/15, Vol.83(7), pp.503-506 |
| link | http://utb.summon.serialssolutions.com/2.0.0/link/0/eLvHCXMwpR1Ns5MwMFOfFy-Ojl99fnHw5lBpE0i4iR1qsX1FLXXeOzEBgvbhFKeFg_4Qf6-bhFI6Pmd8esmEsECyu2x2k-wuQi9y7rpkKLBJLSZMkrrCTIibmnZKHc45HZFU-jufLZzpirw7t897vZ-dU0t1lQzSH1f6lfwLVaEN6Cq9ZK9B2fal0AB1oC-UQGEo_4rG_jIKznTenObwDiD0kzdXy0ayZfXG_zhezcNlID2FJ746MQI1BStTs-7URTi7CLta6kwUBS9qUD6jOhHbtP5a7mQsgsPB7DCY-dovv2jlerAI367G00Dv4q-_l63A9yJvqcCn621Zlbsv66PFBtYeTN1PBO-9hb_0ZZiGwI8uXoKlejSWrqgFKxeUyybOtZaujBETVAarK351HpuGzWhHltoW7kzLtgpMcIXEJyqbdaERI_XVAcOD9tmjUNoNoeIOcMxwTHUBz8R7COnyBhx2A90cUaq2_2cfWLt2Zzlyw5ruA9HLUTYBrWRvXv3eF1BvLkHZ_yz-bMcofSa6g243hojh6a7cRT2xuYfmB44ywokBXGIcOEq1dKhgtBwFNQWrOEpdSI66j6KJH42nZpNvw7yE4VRmhmE0ucVHGXdyS2CWjXIH53iIYTZlOUtHdkLAoCacWwnGGU4Ic1w7cwTPMRb4ATrZlBvxCBlwN88SbjMBkiBzZBZDN3VoatNhTgQf9tFrjY_4m46pEl-bNH30fI_JGCSi3ObiG1HWu9hxpbe37fbRQ43g9iNDmJzAvqen___5x-jW4f94gk6qbS2egnpaJc8Ur_wCKfyC7A |
| linkProvider | Colorado Alliance of Research Libraries |
| openUrl | ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info%3Aofi%2Fenc%3AUTF-8&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fsummon.serialssolutions.com&rft_val_fmt=info%3Aofi%2Ffmt%3Akev%3Amtx%3Ajournal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=ESTIMATION+OF+THE+PREVALENCE+OF+TUBERCULOSIS+INFECTION+IN+THE+1950s+IN+TOKYO&rft.jtitle=Kekkaku%28Tuberculosis%29&rft.au=KOIKE%2C+Rika&rft.au=INOGUCHI%2C+Chiyo&rft.au=WATASE%2C+Hirotoshi&rft.date=2008-07-01&rft.pub=JAPANESE+SOCIETY+FOR+TUBERCULOSIS&rft.issn=0022-9776&rft.eissn=1884-2410&rft.volume=83&rft.issue=7&rft.spage=503&rft.epage=506&rft_id=info:doi/10.11400%2Fkekkaku1923.83.503&rft.externalDocID=article_kekkaku1923_83_7_83_7_503_article_char_en |
| thumbnail_l | http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/lc.gif&issn=0022-9776&client=summon |
| thumbnail_m | http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/mc.gif&issn=0022-9776&client=summon |
| thumbnail_s | http://covers-cdn.summon.serialssolutions.com/index.aspx?isbn=/sc.gif&issn=0022-9776&client=summon |