Analysis and prediction of land use and land cover change: A case study of Minjiang River, China

Scientists have aimed at researching land use and land cover change (LUCC) and analyzing the possible trajectories of land use change in the near future in order to improve our understanding of the causes and consequences of these phenomena. This study addresses LUCC in Minjiang River, China, from 1...

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Published in2011 19th International Conference on Geoinformatics pp. 1 - 4
Main Authors Jie Meng, Xiaoxiang Zhang, Xingnan Zhang, Yan Xie, Baohua Yuan
Format Conference Proceeding
LanguageEnglish
Published IEEE 01.06.2011
Subjects
Analytical models
Biological system modeling
CLUE-S Model
Humans
Land use/cover change
Mathematical model
Minjiang river
Predictive models
Rivers
simulation
Trajectory
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Summary:Scientists have aimed at researching land use and land cover change (LUCC) and analyzing the possible trajectories of land use change in the near future in order to improve our understanding of the causes and consequences of these phenomena. This study addresses LUCC in Minjiang River, China, from 1980 to 2008. Based on satellite images, LUCC change was assessed using area of land cover change and land cover change ratio. It is concluded that from 1980 to 2008, farmland, construction, grassland and forest change significantly, because of the development of urbanization, the impact of human activities increased on land use/over change. Afterward, using the CLUE-S model, different scenarios of near-future development in land use pattern are simulated illustrating the effects of implementing spatial polices. Result show that forest, grassland, and farmland take opposite trajectories in the scenarios.
ISBN:1612848494
9781612848495
ISSN:2161-024X
DOI:10.1109/GeoInformatics.2011.5981105