Prediction and analysis of Sudden Oak Death (SOD) risk in the west coast of America based on Maxent model

Sudden Oak Death (SOD) is one of the most serious diseases in the west coast of the United States. In the USA, SOD is mainly found in California and Oregon. It is necessary to predict the outbreak risk area of SOD in the future. In this paper, based on current global vegetation cover data, past clim...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in2017 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium (IGARSS) pp. 3487 - 3490
Main Authors Houzhi Jiang, Chunxiang Cao, Wei Chen, Yuxing Zhang, Yongfeng Dang, Xuejun Wang, Wei Wang, Shengrui Zhang
Format Conference Proceeding
LanguageEnglish
Published IEEE 01.07.2017
Subjects
Environmental factors
Future climate scenario
Maxent
Meteorology
Predictive models
Sea measurements
Sudden Oak Death (SOD)
Temperature distribution
West coast of the United States
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Summary:Sudden Oak Death (SOD) is one of the most serious diseases in the west coast of the United States. In the USA, SOD is mainly found in California and Oregon. It is necessary to predict the outbreak risk area of SOD in the future. In this paper, based on current global vegetation cover data, past climate data and future climate data (two emission scenarios RCP26 and RCP85), the Maxent model was used to predict the risk of SOD in the west coast of America in 2000, 2050, 2070. The results showed that the risk of SOD will increase in the west coast of the United States, and the high risk areas will show a trend of contiguous. Compared with that in 2000, high-risk areas in the west coast of the United States will increase by 174% in 2070 under RCP85.
ISSN:2153-7003
DOI:10.1109/IGARSS.2017.8127749