Regional Fertility Data Analysis: A Small Area Bayesian Approach

We use small area Bayesian statistics to develop a model for age-specific fertility rates. The model is then used to estimate age-specific fertility rates and total fertility rates at the regional NUTS III area level for Portugal. The chapter makes important contributions to small area Bayesian statis...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inCurrent Trends in Bayesian Methodology with Applications pp. 243 - 264
Format Book Chapter
LanguageEnglish
Published United Kingdom Chapman and Hall/CRC 2015
CRC Press LLC
Subjects
BIOLOGY, LIFE SCIENCES
Probability & statistics
Spatial Clustering Model
Small Area Statistics
Reversible Jump MCMC
BAIXOMOND EGO
Fertility Rates
Small Area Estimation Techniques
Acceptance Probability
Spatial Dependence
SAR Model
Adjacency Matrix
Posterior Inference
Poisson Model
Multinomial Logit Mixed Model
Ave
Observed Fertility Rate
Michigan State University
SAE
Posterior Propriety
Potential Scale Reduction Factor
Shift Step
Full Conditional Distribution
Baixo Alentejo
Posterior Samples
Cluster Centers
Online AccessGet full text
ISBN1482235110
9781482235111
DOI10.1201/b18502-17

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Summary:We use small area Bayesian statistics to develop a model for age-specific fertility rates. The model is then used to estimate age-specific fertility rates and total fertility rates at the regional NUTS III area level for Portugal. The chapter makes important contributions to small area Bayesian statistics in a spatial domain focusing on estimation of fertility rates. The estimates obtained are useful for demographic policy in Portugal.
ISBN:1482235110
9781482235111
DOI:10.1201/b18502-17