Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss IBuxbaumia viridis/I in Serbia

The distribution range and occurrence of the rare and threatened epixylic moss Buxbaumia viridis have been reviewed in Serbia. Climatic conditions of its recent distribution in Serbia were involved in species distribution modeling and analyzed with the aim of obtaining a projection of unknown potent...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inPlants (Basel) Vol. 12; no. 3
Main Authors Pantović, Jovana P, Božović, Djordje P, Sabovljević, Marko S
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published MDPI AG 01.01.2023
Subjects
Analysis
Climatic changes
Distribution
Environmental protection
Forest management
Global temperature changes
Influence
Moss
Sustainable forestry
Varieties
Serbia
United Kingdom
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Summary:The distribution range and occurrence of the rare and threatened epixylic moss Buxbaumia viridis have been reviewed in Serbia. Climatic conditions of its recent distribution in Serbia were involved in species distribution modeling and analyzed with the aim of obtaining a projection of unknown potential sites and future scenarios of its distribution dynamics. The results achieved suggest potential distribution range of the species will be significantly reduced. According to the climate change models, the habitat changes including the range loss of this species are predicted to be drastic, i.e., between 93% and 97% by the year 2050, and between 98% and 99.9% by the year 2070, affecting primarily lower elevations of its current range in Serbia. A major reason for the projected decline of the species is climate change combined with continued poor forest management.
ISSN:2223-7747
2223-7747
DOI:10.3390/plants12030557