Modeling and forecasting of the dynamics of “quality of life” of the population of Krasnodar Krai

• Published in: Теоретическая и прикладная экономика no. 2; pp. 105 - 116
• Main Author: Kopyrin, Andrey Sergeevich
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: 01.02.2020
• ISSN: 2409-8647; 2409-8647
• DOI: 10.25136/2409-8647.2020.2.32192

The goal of this research consists in the analysis of trends in a compositely structured index of the "quality of life", and analysis of sensitivity of a complex indicator by separate factors and cross-section of population of Krasnodar Krai. Based on the acquired results, the author builds a mathematical economic model for the analysis and forecasting of changes in the quality of life of the population of Krasnodar Krai in the context of diverse clusters of municipal formations, as well as compares different functions of approximation. The subject of this research is the socioeconomic interaction within the regional system of Krasnodar Krai. The article carries out a retrospective analysis is conducted on the most important indexes characterizing the subject field, correlation-regression analysis of variables, and sensitivity analysis based on the coefficients of elasticity of private factors. The author's main contribution into the research of this topic lies in building the regression models of the quality of life index of the population of Krasnodar Krai in the context of diverse social clusters, as wll as in determination of the degree of impact of separate social, demographic or economic factors upon complex indicator. Such models allow forecasting and carrying out experimental modeling in this area.