Risk for Transportation of Coronavirus Disease from Wuhan to Other Cities in China
On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 large...
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| Published in | Emerging infectious diseases Vol. 26; no. 5; pp. 1049 - 1052 |
|---|---|
| Main Authors | , , , , , , |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | English |
| Published |
United States
U.S. National Center for Infectious Diseases
01.05.2020
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention |
| Subjects | |
| Online Access | Get full text |
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| Abstract | On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas. |
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| AbstractList | On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas. On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas.On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas. |
| Audience | Professional Academic |
| Author | Du, Zhanwei Wang, Xianwen Meyers, Lauren Ancel Wang, Lin Cauchemez, Simon Xu, Xiaoke Cowling, Benjamin J. |
| Author_xml | – sequence: 1 givenname: Zhanwei surname: Du fullname: Du, Zhanwei – sequence: 2 givenname: Lin surname: Wang fullname: Wang, Lin – sequence: 3 givenname: Simon surname: Cauchemez fullname: Cauchemez, Simon – sequence: 4 givenname: Xiaoke surname: Xu fullname: Xu, Xiaoke – sequence: 5 givenname: Xianwen surname: Wang fullname: Wang, Xianwen – sequence: 6 givenname: Benjamin J. surname: Cowling fullname: Cowling, Benjamin J. – sequence: 7 givenname: Lauren Ancel surname: Meyers fullname: Meyers, Lauren Ancel |
| BackLink | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32053479$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed https://pasteur.hal.science/pasteur-03325895$$DView record in HAL |
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| Cites_doi | 10.1056/NEJMoa2001316 10.3201/eid1107.041165 10.1126/science.339.6125.1264 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30154-9 |
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| Copyright | COPYRIGHT 2020 U.S. National Center for Infectious Diseases Published 2020. This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the USA. Attribution |
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| PublicationTitle | Emerging infectious diseases |
| PublicationTitleAlternate | Emerg Infect Dis |
| PublicationYear | 2020 |
| Publisher | U.S. National Center for Infectious Diseases Centers for Disease Control and Prevention |
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| References | cr-split#-key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R2.1 cr-split#-key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R2.2 key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R1 key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R10 Enserink (key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R5) 2013; 339 key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R8 key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R3 Wilder-Smith (key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R7) 2005; 11 Li (key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R4) 2020 key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R6 Chan (key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R9) 2020 32511457 - medRxiv. 2020 Feb 17 |
| References_xml | – start-page: NEJMoa2001316 year: 2020 ident: key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R4 article-title: Early transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China, of novel coronavirus–infected pneumonia. publication-title: N Engl J Med doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2001316 – ident: key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R8 – ident: key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R6 – volume: 11 start-page: 1142 year: 2005 ident: key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R7 article-title: Asymptomatic SARS coronavirus infection among healthcare workers, Singapore. publication-title: Emerg Infect Dis doi: 10.3201/eid1107.041165 – ident: key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R10 – volume: 339 start-page: 1264 year: 2013 ident: key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R5 article-title: War stories. publication-title: Science doi: 10.1126/science.339.6125.1264 – ident: key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R1 – ident: key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R3 – ident: #cr-split#-key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R2.1 – start-page: S0140-6736(20)30154-9 year: 2020 ident: key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R9 article-title: A familial cluster of pneumonia associated with the 2019 novel coronavirus indicating person-to-person transmission: a study of a family cluster. publication-title: Lancet doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30154-9 – ident: #cr-split#-key-10.3201/eid2605.200146-202004161438-R2.2 – reference: 32511457 - medRxiv. 2020 Feb 17;: |
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| Snippet | On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan... |
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| SubjectTerms | 2019-nCoV Betacoronavirus China China - epidemiology Cities Cities and towns coronavirus Coronavirus Infections Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology Coronaviruses COVID-19 Disease Outbreaks Disease transmission Diseases Epidemics epidemiology Estimates Exports Fatalities Forecasting Humans importation Infections Infectious diseases International economic relations Laboratories Mathematics Metropolitan areas Mobility Models, Statistical Novels outbreak Pandemics Pneumonia Pneumonia, Viral Pneumonia, Viral - epidemiology Public health Public health movements Quarantine Research Letter Respiratory tract diseases Risk Assessment Risk for Transportation of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Disease from Wuhan to Other Cities in China SARS-CoV-2 Severe acute respiratory syndrome Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 Statistics Stochastic Processes Transportation Transportation industry War stories Wuhan |
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| Title | Risk for Transportation of Coronavirus Disease from Wuhan to Other Cities in China |
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