The Kyoto Protocol: A Cost-Effective Strategy for Meeting Environmental Objectives?

This paper has three purposes: 1) to identify the near-term costs to the United States of ratifying the Kyoto Protocol; 2) to assess the significance of the Protocol's "flexibility provisions"; and, 3) to evaluate the Kyoto targets in the context of the long-term goal of the Framework...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inThe Energy journal (Cambridge, Mass.) Vol. 20; no. 1_suppl; pp. 1 - 23
Main Authors Manne, Alan S., Richels, Richard G.
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Los Angeles, CA Energy Economics Education Foundation, Inc 01.01.1999
SAGE Publications
International Association for Energy Economics
Sage Publications Ltd. (UK)
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Summary:This paper has three purposes: 1) to identify the near-term costs to the United States of ratifying the Kyoto Protocol; 2) to assess the significance of the Protocol's "flexibility provisions"; and, 3) to evaluate the Kyoto targets in the context of the long-term goal of the Framework Convention. We find that the short-term U.S. abatement costs of implementing this Protocol are likely to be substantial. These costs can be reduced through international trade in emission rights. The magnitude of the costs will be determined by the number of countries participating in the trading market, the shape of each country's marginal abatement cost curve, and the extent to which buyers can satisfy their obligation through the purchase of emission rights. Finally and perhaps most important: unless the ultimate concentration target is well below 550 ppmv, the Protocol seems to be inconsistent with a long-term strategy for stabilizing global concentrations.
ISSN:0195-6574
1944-9089
DOI:10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol20-NoSI-2