Potential impacts of climate change on the winter distribution of Afro-Palaearctic migrant passerines

• Published in: Biology letters (2005) Vol. 5; no. 2; pp. 248 - 251
• Main Authors: Barbet-Massin, Morgane, Walther, Bruno A, Thuiller, Wilfried, Rahbek, Carsten, Jiguet, Frédéric
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: London The Royal Society 23.04.2009
• Subjects: Africa; Africa South of the Sahara; Animal Migration; Animals; Birds; Climate Change; Climate Suitability Model; Ensemble Forecast; Global Change Biology; Greenhouse Effect; Passeriformes; Population Dynamics; Seasons; Species' Range Shift; Africa South of the Sahara

We modelled the present and future sub-Saharan winter distributions of 64 trans-Saharan migrant passerines to predict the potential impacts of climate change. These predictions used the recent ensemble modelling developments and the latest IPCC climatic simulations to account for possible methodolog...