Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases—including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika—is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus . The distribution of these species is largely driven by both human movement...
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| Published in | Nature microbiology Vol. 4; no. 5; pp. 854 - 863 |
|---|---|
| Main Authors | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
| Format | Journal Article |
| Language | English |
| Published |
London
Nature Publishing Group UK
01.05.2019
Nature Publishing Group |
| Subjects | |
| Online Access | Get full text |
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| Abstract | The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases—including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika—is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors:
Aedes aegypti
and
Aedes albopictus
. The distribution of these species is largely driven by both human movement and the presence of suitable climate. Using statistical mapping techniques, we show that human movement patterns explain the spread of both species in Europe and the United States following their introduction. We find that the spread of
Ae. aegypti
is characterized by long distance importations, while
Ae. albopictus
has expanded more along the fringes of its distribution. We describe these processes and predict the future distributions of both species in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. Global surveillance and control efforts that aim to mitigate the spread of chikungunya, dengue, yellow fever and Zika viruses must consider the so far unabated spread of these mosquitos. Our maps and predictions offer an opportunity to strategically target surveillance and control programmes and thereby augment efforts to reduce arbovirus burden in human populations globally.
Statistical mapping techniques provide insights into the spread of two key arbovirus vectors in Europe and the United States, and predict the future distributions of both mosquitoes in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. |
|---|---|
| AbstractList | The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases—including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika—is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors:
Aedes aegypti
and
Aedes albopictus
. The distribution of these species is largely driven by both human movement and the presence of suitable climate. Using statistical mapping techniques, we show that human movement patterns explain the spread of both species in Europe and the United States following their introduction. We find that the spread of
Ae. aegypti
is characterized by long distance importations, while
Ae. albopictus
has expanded more along the fringes of its distribution. We describe these processes and predict the future distributions of both species in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. Global surveillance and control efforts that aim to mitigate the spread of chikungunya, dengue, yellow fever and Zika viruses must consider the so far unabated spread of these mosquitos. Our maps and predictions offer an opportunity to strategically target surveillance and control programmes and thereby augment efforts to reduce arbovirus burden in human populations globally. The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases—including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika—is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus . The distribution of these species is largely driven by both human movement and the presence of suitable climate. Using statistical mapping techniques, we show that human movement patterns explain the spread of both species in Europe and the United States following their introduction. We find that the spread of Ae. aegypti is characterized by long distance importations, while Ae. albopictus has expanded more along the fringes of its distribution. We describe these processes and predict the future distributions of both species in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. Global surveillance and control efforts that aim to mitigate the spread of chikungunya, dengue, yellow fever and Zika viruses must consider the so far unabated spread of these mosquitos. Our maps and predictions offer an opportunity to strategically target surveillance and control programmes and thereby augment efforts to reduce arbovirus burden in human populations globally. Statistical mapping techniques provide insights into the spread of two key arbovirus vectors in Europe and the United States, and predict the future distributions of both mosquitoes in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases—including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika—is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. The distribution of these species is largely driven by both human movement and the presence of suitable climate. Using statistical mapping techniques, we show that human movement patterns explain the spread of both species in Europe and the United States following their introduction. We find that the spread of Ae. aegypti is characterized by long distance importations, while Ae. albopictus has expanded more along the fringes of its distribution. We describe these processes and predict the future distributions of both species in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. Global surveillance and control efforts that aim to mitigate the spread of chikungunya, dengue, yellow fever and Zika viruses must consider the so far unabated spread of these mosquitos. Our maps and predictions offer an opportunity to strategically target surveillance and control programmes and thereby augment efforts to reduce arbovirus burden in human populations globally.Statistical mapping techniques provide insights into the spread of two key arbovirus vectors in Europe and the United States, and predict the future distributions of both mosquitoes in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases-including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika-is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. The distribution of these species is largely driven by both human movement and the presence of suitable climate. Using statistical mapping techniques, we show that human movement patterns explain the spread of both species in Europe and the United States following their introduction. We find that the spread of Ae. aegypti is characterized by long distance importations, while Ae. albopictus has expanded more along the fringes of its distribution. We describe these processes and predict the future distributions of both species in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. Global surveillance and control efforts that aim to mitigate the spread of chikungunya, dengue, yellow fever and Zika viruses must consider the so far unabated spread of these mosquitos. Our maps and predictions offer an opportunity to strategically target surveillance and control programmes and thereby augment efforts to reduce arbovirus burden in human populations globally.The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases-including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika-is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. The distribution of these species is largely driven by both human movement and the presence of suitable climate. Using statistical mapping techniques, we show that human movement patterns explain the spread of both species in Europe and the United States following their introduction. We find that the spread of Ae. aegypti is characterized by long distance importations, while Ae. albopictus has expanded more along the fringes of its distribution. We describe these processes and predict the future distributions of both species in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. Global surveillance and control efforts that aim to mitigate the spread of chikungunya, dengue, yellow fever and Zika viruses must consider the so far unabated spread of these mosquitos. Our maps and predictions offer an opportunity to strategically target surveillance and control programmes and thereby augment efforts to reduce arbovirus burden in human populations globally. The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases-including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika-is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. The distribution of these species is largely driven by both human movement and the presence of suitable climate. Using statistical mapping techniques, we show that human movement patterns explain the spread of both species in Europe and the United States following their introduction. We find that the spread of Ae. aegypti is characterized by long distance importations, while Ae. albopictus has expanded more along the fringes of its distribution. We describe these processes and predict the future distributions of both species in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. Global surveillance and control efforts that aim to mitigate the spread of chikungunya, dengue, yellow fever and Zika viruses must consider the so far unabated spread of these mosquitos. Our maps and predictions offer an opportunity to strategically target surveillance and control programmes and thereby augment efforts to reduce arbovirus burden in human populations globally. |
| Author | Reiner, Robert C. Bengtsson, Linus Wetter, Erik Smith, David L. Pigott, David M. Cauchemez, Simon Liu, Qiyong Yi, Dingdong Wint, G. R. William Faria, Nuno R. Johnson, Kimberly Davis Weaver, Nicole Perkins, T. Alex Yu, Hongjie Gilbert, Marius Lai, Shengjie Brownstein, John S. Scott, Thomas W. Bisanzio, Donal Kraemer, Moritz U. G. Earl, Lucas Moore, Chester G. Hendrickx, Guy Golding, Nick Messina, Jane P. Shirude, Shreya Tatem, Andrew J. Schaffner, Francis Marsboom, Cedric Pybus, Oliver G. Hay, Simon I. Carvalho, Roberta G. Coelho, Giovanini E. Lambrechts, Louis Brady, Oliver J. Nax, Heinrich H. Marczak, Laurie B. Van Bortel, Wim Lu, Xin Jones, Peter Linard, Catherine |
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G. email: moritz.kraemer@zoo.ox.ac.uk organization: Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston Children’s Hospital – sequence: 2 givenname: Robert C. surname: Reiner fullname: Reiner, Robert C. organization: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington – sequence: 3 givenname: Oliver J. surname: Brady fullname: Brady, Oliver J. organization: Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine – sequence: 4 givenname: Jane P. surname: Messina fullname: Messina, Jane P. organization: School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford School of Global and Area Studies, University of Oxford – sequence: 5 givenname: Marius surname: Gilbert fullname: Gilbert, Marius organization: Spatial Epidemiology Lab (SpELL), Universite Libre de Bruxelles, Fonds National de la Recherche Scientifique – sequence: 6 givenname: David M. surname: Pigott fullname: Pigott, David M. organization: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington – sequence: 7 givenname: Dingdong surname: Yi fullname: Yi, Dingdong organization: Department of Statistics, Harvard University – sequence: 8 givenname: Kimberly surname: Johnson fullname: Johnson, Kimberly organization: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington – sequence: 9 givenname: Lucas surname: Earl fullname: Earl, Lucas organization: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington – sequence: 10 givenname: Laurie B. surname: Marczak fullname: Marczak, Laurie B. organization: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington – sequence: 11 givenname: Shreya surname: Shirude fullname: Shirude, Shreya organization: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington – sequence: 12 givenname: Nicole orcidid: 0000-0002-7205-9621 surname: Davis Weaver fullname: Davis Weaver, Nicole organization: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington – sequence: 13 givenname: Donal surname: Bisanzio fullname: Bisanzio, Donal organization: RTI International, Epidemiology and Public Health Division, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham – sequence: 14 givenname: T. Alex surname: Perkins fullname: Perkins, T. Alex organization: Department of Biological Sciences and Eck Institute for Global Health, University of Notre Dame – sequence: 15 givenname: Shengjie surname: Lai fullname: Lai, Shengjie organization: School of Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Flowminder Foundation – sequence: 16 givenname: Xin surname: Lu fullname: Lu, Xin organization: School of Business, Central South University, College of Systems Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, School of Business Administration, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics – sequence: 17 givenname: Peter surname: Jones fullname: Jones, Peter organization: Waen Associates Ltd, Y Waen, Islaw’r Dref, Dolgellau – sequence: 18 givenname: Giovanini E. surname: Coelho fullname: Coelho, Giovanini E. organization: Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) – sequence: 19 givenname: Roberta G. surname: Carvalho fullname: Carvalho, Roberta G. organization: National Dengue Control Program, Ministry of Health – sequence: 20 givenname: Wim orcidid: 0000-0002-6644-518X surname: Van Bortel fullname: Van Bortel, Wim organization: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Institute of Tropical Medicine – sequence: 21 givenname: Cedric surname: Marsboom fullname: Marsboom, Cedric organization: Avia-GIS – sequence: 22 givenname: Guy surname: Hendrickx fullname: Hendrickx, Guy organization: Avia-GIS – sequence: 23 givenname: Francis surname: Schaffner fullname: Schaffner, Francis organization: Francis Schaffner Consultancy – sequence: 24 givenname: Chester G. surname: Moore fullname: Moore, Chester G. organization: Department of Microbiology, Immunology, and Pathology, Colorado State University – sequence: 25 givenname: Heinrich H. surname: Nax fullname: Nax, Heinrich H. organization: Computational Social Science, ETH Zurich – sequence: 26 givenname: Linus surname: Bengtsson fullname: Bengtsson, Linus organization: Flowminder Foundation, Department of Public Health Sciences, Karolinska Institutet – sequence: 27 givenname: Erik orcidid: 0000-0002-5821-6651 surname: Wetter fullname: Wetter, Erik organization: Flowminder Foundation, Stockholm School of Economics – sequence: 28 givenname: Andrew J. surname: Tatem fullname: Tatem, Andrew J. organization: Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Flowminder Foundation – sequence: 29 givenname: John S. surname: Brownstein fullname: Brownstein, John S. organization: Harvard Medical School, Harvard University, Boston Children’s Hospital – sequence: 30 givenname: David L. orcidid: 0000-0003-4367-3849 surname: Smith fullname: Smith, David L. organization: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington – sequence: 31 givenname: Louis orcidid: 0000-0001-5958-2138 surname: Lambrechts fullname: Lambrechts, Louis organization: Insect–Virus Interactions Unit, Institut Pasteur, CNRS – sequence: 32 givenname: Simon surname: Cauchemez fullname: Cauchemez, Simon organization: Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, CNRS – sequence: 33 givenname: Catherine orcidid: 0000-0002-0819-7755 surname: Linard fullname: Linard, Catherine organization: Spatial Epidemiology Lab (SpELL), Universite Libre de Bruxelles, Department of Geography, Universite de Namur – sequence: 34 givenname: Nuno R. orcidid: 0000-0002-9747-8822 surname: Faria fullname: Faria, Nuno R. organization: Department of Zoology, University of Oxford – sequence: 35 givenname: Oliver G. surname: Pybus fullname: Pybus, Oliver G. organization: Department of Zoology, University of Oxford – sequence: 36 givenname: Thomas W. surname: Scott fullname: Scott, Thomas W. organization: Department of Entomology and Nematology, University of California, Davis – sequence: 37 givenname: Qiyong surname: Liu fullname: Liu, Qiyong organization: State Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Changping, Shandong University Climate Change and Health Center, School of Public Health, Shandong University, Jinan, WHO Collaborating Centre for Vector Surveillance and Management, Chongqing Centre for Disease Control and Prevention – sequence: 38 givenname: Hongjie surname: Yu fullname: Yu, Hongjie organization: School of Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education – sequence: 39 givenname: G. R. William surname: Wint fullname: Wint, G. R. William organization: Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Environmental Research Group Oxford (ERGO), Department of Zoology, Oxford University – sequence: 40 givenname: Simon I. orcidid: 0000-0002-0611-7272 surname: Hay fullname: Hay, Simon I. email: sihay@uw.edu organization: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington – sequence: 41 givenname: Nick orcidid: 0000-0001-8916-5570 surname: Golding fullname: Golding, Nick email: nick.golding.research@gmail.com organization: School of BioSciences, University of Melbourne |
| BackLink | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30833735$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed https://pasteur.hal.science/pasteur-02067318$$DView record in HAL https://research.hhs.se/esploro/outputs/journalArticle/Past-and-future-spread-of-the/991001480564206056$$DView record from Swedish Publication Index http://kipublications.ki.se/Default.aspx?queryparsed=id:140783832$$DView record from Swedish Publication Index |
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| Snippet | The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases—including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika—is expanding in concert with changes in the... The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases-including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika-is expanding in concert with changes in the... |
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| Title | Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus |
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