Fish to 2030: The Role and Opportunity for Aquaculture

• Published in: Aquaculture economics & management Vol. 19; no. 3; pp. 282 - 300
• Main Authors: Kobayashi, Mimako, Msangi, Siwa, Batka, Miroslav, Vannuccini, Stefania, Dey, Madan M, Anderson, James L
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Taylor & Francis 03.07.2015; Taylor and Francis
• Subjects: animal source protein; aquaculture; Decapoda; feed management; fish; fisheries; food supply chain; market outlook; markets; multi-market modeling; Penaeidae; seafood trade; seafoods; shrimp; Tilapia; South East Asia; Caribbean; China; India; Latin America; ISEW, Southeast Asia; ASW, Caribbean Sea; China, People's Rep
• ISSN: 1551-8663; 1365-7305; 1551-8663
• DOI: 10.1080/13657305.2015.994240

Seafood sector can contribute to the global food supply in an important way, and provide an important source of animal protein. Based on observed regional trends in seafood production and consumption and using a global, partial-equilibrium, multi-market model, this study investigates what the global seafood market may look like in 2030. The model projects that the total fish supply will increase from 154 million tons in 2011 to 186 million tons in 2030, with aquaculture entirely responsible for the increase. The fastest aquaculture growth is expected for tilapia and shrimp, while the largest expansion is expected in India, Latin America and Caribbean and Southeast Asia. Fast-growing seafood demand in China and elsewhere represents a critical opportunity for global fisheries and aquaculture to improve their management and achieve sustainable seafood economy.