Effects of temperature variation and humidity on the death of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China

• Published in: The Science of the total environment Vol. 724; p. 138226
• Main Authors: Ma, Yueling, Zhao, Yadong, Liu, Jiangtao, He, Xiaotao, Wang, Bo, Fu, Shihua, Yan, Jun, Niu, Jingping, Zhou, Ji, Luo, Bin
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Netherlands Elsevier B.V 01.07.2020
• Subjects: absolute humidity; air pollutants; air pollution; Betacoronavirus; China; China - epidemiology; Coronavirus infections; Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology; Coronavirus Infections - mortality; COVID-19; death; Diurnal temperature range; Environmental Exposure - statistics & numerical data; Generalized additive model; Humans; Humidity; influenza; mortality; Pandemics; Pneumonia, Viral - epidemiology; Pneumonia, Viral - mortality; relative humidity; SARS-CoV-2; Temperature; viruses; China; COVID-19; Diurnal temperature range; Temperature; Generalized additive model; Humidity
• ISSN: 0048-9697; 1879-1026; 1879-1026
• DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138226

Meteorological parameters are the important factors influencing the infectious diseases such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and influenza. This study aims to explore the association between Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) deaths and weather parameters. In this study, we collected the daily death numbers of COVID-19, meteorological parameters and air pollutant data from 20 January 2020 to 29 February 2020 in Wuhan, China. Generalized additive model was applied to explore the effect of temperature, humidity and diurnal temperature range on the daily death counts of COVID-19. There were 2299 COVID-19 death counts in Wuhan during the study period. A positive association with COVID-19 daily death counts was observed for diurnal temperature range (r = 0.44), but negative association for relative humidity (r = −0.32). In addition, one unit increase in diurnal temperature range was only associated with a 2.92% (95% CI: 0.61%, 5.28%) increase in COVID-19 deaths in lag 3. However, both 1 unit increase of temperature and absolute humidity were related to the decreased COVID-19 death in lag 3 and lag 5, with the greatest decrease both in lag 3 [−7.50% (95% CI: −10.99%, −3.88%) and −11.41% (95% CI: −19.68%, −2.29%)]. In summary, this study suggests the temperature variation and humidity may also be important factors affecting the COVID-19 mortality. [Display omitted] •First study to explore the effects of meteorological factors on COVID-19 mortality•A positive association is found between daily death counts of COVID-19 and DTR.•Absolute humidity is negatively associated with daily death counts of COVID-19.