The spreading frontiers of avian-human influenza described by the free boundary

• Published in: Science China. Mathematics Vol. 57; no. 5; pp. 971 - 990
• Main Authors: Lei, ChengXia, Kim, KwangIk, Lin, ZhiGui
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Heidelberg Science China Press 2014; Springer Nature B.V
• Subjects: Applications of Mathematics; Free boundaries; Human influences; Influenza; Mathematical analysis; Mathematics; Mathematics and Statistics; Reproduction; Spreading; Spreads; Texts; Time dependence; 人流感; 人类流感; 充分条件; 扩散系统; 播前; 时间相关; 禽流感; 自由边界问题; reaction-diffusion system; 92D30; spreading frontiers; free boundary; 35K57; avian-human influenza
• ISSN: 1674-7283; 1869-1862
• DOI: 10.1007/s11425-013-4652-7

In this paper,a reaction-diffusion system is proposed to investigate avian-human influenza. Two free boundaries are introduced to describe the spreading frontiers of the avian influenza. The basic reproduction numbers rF 0（t） and RF 0（t） are defined for the bird with the avian influenza and for the human with the mutant avian influenza of the free boundary problem,respectively. Properties of these two time-dependent basic reproduction numbers are obtained. Sufficient conditions both for spreading and for vanishing of the avian influenza are given. It is shown that if rF 0（0） 1 and the initial number of the infected birds is small,the avian influenza vanishes in the bird world. Furthermore,if rF 0（0）〈 1 and RF 0（0） 〈1,the avian influenza vanishes in the bird and human worlds. In the case that rF 0（0） 〈1 and RF 0（0） 〈1,spreading of the mutant avian influenza in the human world is possible. It is also shown that if rF 0（t0）≥1 for any t0 ≥0,the avian influenza spreads in the bird world.