A Risk Score to Predict Hypertension in Primary Care Settings in Rural India

We used the data of 297 participants (15-64 years old) from a cohort study (2003-2010) who were free from hypertension at baseline, to develop a risk score to predict hypertension by primary health care workers in rural India. Age ≥35 years, current smoking, prehypertension, and central obesity were...

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Published inAsia-Pacific journal of public health Vol. 28; no. 1 Suppl; p. 26S
Main Authors Sathish, Thirunavukkarasu, Kannan, Srinivasan, Sarma, P Sankara, Razum, Oliver, Thrift, Amanda Gay, Thankappan, Kavumpurathu Raman
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published China 01.01.2016
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Summary:We used the data of 297 participants (15-64 years old) from a cohort study (2003-2010) who were free from hypertension at baseline, to develop a risk score to predict hypertension by primary health care workers in rural India. Age ≥35 years, current smoking, prehypertension, and central obesity were significantly associated with incident hypertension. The optimal cutoff value of ≥3 had a sensitivity of 78.6%, specificity of 65.2%, positive predictive value of 41.1%, and negative predictive value of 90.8%. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the risk score was 0.802 (95% confidence interval = 0.748-0.856). This simple and easy to administer risk score could be used to predict hypertension in primary care settings in rural India.
ISSN:1941-2479
DOI:10.1177/1010539515604701