Dynamic projection of anthropogenic emissions in China: methodology and 2015–2050 emission pathways under a range of socio-economic, climate policy, and pollution control scenarios

• Published in: Atmospheric chemistry and physics Vol. 20; no. 9; pp. 5729 - 5757
• Main Authors: Tong, Dan, Cheng, Jing, Liu, Yang, Yu, Sha, Yan, Liu, Hong, Chaopeng, Qin, Yu, Zhao, Hongyan, Zheng, Yixuan, Geng, Guannan, Li, Meng, Liu, Fei, Zhang, Yuxuan, Zheng, Bo, Clarke, Leon, Zhang, Qiang
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Katlenburg-Lindau Copernicus GmbH 14.05.2020; Copernicus Publications
• Subjects: Air pollution; Air pollution control; Air pollution effects; Air pollution measurements; Analysis; Anthropogenic factors; Carbon; Climate change; Climate change research; Climate policy; Coal fired power plants; Combustion; Computer simulation; Connecting; Control systems; Economic aspects; Economics; Electric power generation; Electric power plants; Emission inventories; Emissions; Emissions control; Energy; Energy demand; Environmental aspects; Environmental management; Environmental policy; Fossil fueled power plants; Global temperature changes; Greenhouse effect; Greenhouse gases; Industrial plants; Industry; Intercomparison; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; Inventory; Inventory control; Life span; Local climates; Mathematical models; Methane; Methods; Modules; Nitrogen compounds; Nitrogen oxides; Organic compounds; Particulate matter; Pollutants; Pollution control; Power (Philosophy); Power plants; Projection model; Researchers; Road transportation; Socioeconomic aspects; Socioeconomics; Sulfur dioxide; Supply & demand; Technology; Tracks (paths); Trends; VOCs; Volatile organic compounds; China
• ISSN: 1680-7324; 1680-7316; 1680-7324
• DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-5729-2020

Future trends in air pollution and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions for China are of great concern to the community. A set of global scenarios regarding future socio-economic and climate developments, combining shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs) with climate forcing outcomes as described by the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), was created by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Chinese researchers have also developed various emission scenarios by considering detailed local environmental and climate policies. However, a comprehensive scenario set connecting SSP-RCP scenarios with local policies and representing dynamic emission changes under local policies is still missing.