Metabolic syndrome predicts postoperative complications after gastrectomy in gastric cancer patients: Development of an individualized usable nomogram and rating model
Background Metabolic syndrome (MetS), a public health problem, is reportedly related to an increased risk of postoperative complications after surgery. However, whether MetS have an effect on complications after gastric cancer (GC) surgery are unknown. This study aimed to investigate the effects of...
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Published in | Cancer medicine (Malden, MA) Vol. 9; no. 19; pp. 7116 - 7124 |
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Main Authors | , , , , , , , , |
Format | Journal Article |
Language | English |
Published |
United States
John Wiley & Sons, Inc
01.10.2020
John Wiley and Sons Inc Wiley |
Subjects | |
Online Access | Get full text |
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Summary: | Background
Metabolic syndrome (MetS), a public health problem, is reportedly related to an increased risk of postoperative complications after surgery. However, whether MetS have an effect on complications after gastric cancer (GC) surgery are unknown. This study aimed to investigate the effects of preoperative MetS on complications after gastrectomy.
Methods
Altogether, 718 gastric cancer patients who planned to receive radical gastrectomy between June 2014 and December 2016 were enrolled, demographic and clinicopathological characteristics were analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify potential risk factors for postoperative complications. A predictive model for postoperative complications was constructed in the form of a nomogram, and its clinical usefulness was assessed.
Results
Of the 628 patients ultimately included in the study (mean age 62.92 years, 450 men and 178 women), 84 were diagnosed with MetS preoperatively. Severe postoperative complications (Clavien‐Dindo grade ≥II) were significantly more common in patients with MetS (41.7% versus 23.7%, P < .001). Predictors of postoperative complications included MetS (odds ratio [OR] = 1.800, P = .023), age (OR = 1.418, P = .050), Charlson score (OR = 1.787, P = .004 for 1‐2 points) and anastomosis type (OR = 1.746, P = .007 for Billroth II reconstruction). The high‐risk rating had a high AUC (ROC I = 0.503, ROC Ib = 0.544, ROC IIa = 0.601, ROC IIb = 0.612, ROC IIc = 0.638, ROC III = 0.735), indicating that the risk‐rating model has good discriminative capacity and clinical usefulness.
Conclusions
MetS was an independent risk factor for complications after gastrectomy. The nomogram and rating model incorporating MetS, Billroth II anastomosis, age, and Charlson score was useful for individualized prediction of postoperative complications.
MetS was an independent risk factor for postoperative complications after gastrectomy. We developed an useful nomogram and rating model incorporating MetS, Billroth II anastomosis, age, and Charlson score. |
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Bibliography: | Funding information Xiaodong Chen, Weiteng Zhang, and Xiangwei Sun are contributed equally to this work. This study was funded by the Department of Health of Zhejiang Province, China (grant no. 2016DTA006) and the Wenzhou Municipal Science and Technology Bureau (grant no.Y20150057). There are no other commercial interests or sources of financial or material support to declare. ObjectType-Article-1 SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1 ObjectType-Feature-2 content type line 23 |
ISSN: | 2045-7634 2045-7634 |
DOI: | 10.1002/cam4.3352 |