Has the attitude of US citizens towards redistribution changed over time?

• Published in: Economic modelling Vol. 52; pp. 714 - 724
• Main Authors: Pittau, Maria Grazia, Farcomeni, Alessio, Zelli, Roberto
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Amsterdam Elsevier B.V 01.01.2016; Elsevier Science Ltd
• Subjects: Demand for redistribution; Economic models; Ethnicity; Income redistribution; Individual preferences; Multilevel logistic with time-varying slopes model; Personal income; Structural adjustment; Studies; Weakly informative priors; United States > US; Individual preferences; Demand for redistribution; Weakly informative priors; Multilevel logistic with time-varying slopes model
• ISSN: 0264-9993; 1873-6122
• DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2015.09.039

This paper provides new stylized facts on how support for redistribution in the United Stated has changed over time. Since detecting structural changes in individual attitudes requires long periods of time, we used repeated cross-sectional data from the General Social Survey (GSS) cumulative Datafile that include twenty cross-sectional surveys and span a period of over thirty years (1978–2010). A multilevel logistic model with time-varying slopes and two independent levels of variation allowed us to capture temporal patterns net of age and cohort effects. Despite an overall flat trend in demand for redistribution, we find that driving factors in shaping redistributive preferences have changed considerably over time. These changes are little influenced by birth cohort. Specifically, personal income is a strong predictor, with the poor–rich gap increasing over time. Elderly people are more adverse to redistribute than they were in the past. Large changes also characterize the effects of education, ethnic bonds and self-declared party identification. Over time, highly educated people have increased their probability to be in favor of redistribution while the less educated have become less prone. Ethnicity mattered more in the 1970s than in the 2000s and it is increasingly mediated by the political party affiliation of individuals. •New stylized facts on how support for redistribution changed in the U.S. over time•Novel methods to capture temporal patterns net of age and cohort effects•Poor–rich gap increased over time.•Elderly people more adverse to redistribution than in the past•Large temporal changes also for education, ethnicity, political identification