Financial frictions and employment during the Great Depression

We provide new evidence that a disruption in credit supply played a quantitatively significant role in the unprecedented contraction of employment during the Great Depression using a novel, hand-collected dataset of large industrial firms. Our identification strategy exploits preexisting variation i...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inJournal of financial economics Vol. 133; no. 3; pp. 541 - 563
Main Authors Benmelech, Efraim, Frydman, Carola, Papanikolaou, Dimitris
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Amsterdam Elsevier B.V 01.09.2019
Elsevier Sequoia S.A
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Summary:We provide new evidence that a disruption in credit supply played a quantitatively significant role in the unprecedented contraction of employment during the Great Depression using a novel, hand-collected dataset of large industrial firms. Our identification strategy exploits preexisting variation in the need to raise external funds at a time when public bond markets essentially froze. Local bank failures inhibited firms’ ability to substitute public debt for private debt, which exacerbated financial constraints. We estimate a large and negative causal effect of financing frictions on firm employment. We find that the lack of access to credit likely accounted for a substantial fraction of the aggregate decline in employment of large firms between 1928 and 1933.
ISSN:0304-405X
1879-2774
DOI:10.1016/j.jfineco.2019.02.005