The effect of global change on mosquito-borne disease

More than 80% of the global population is at risk of a vector-borne disease, with mosquito-borne diseases being the largest contributor to human vector-borne disease burden. Although many global processes, such as land-use and socioeconomic change, are thought to affect mosquito-borne disease dynami...

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Published inThe Lancet infectious diseases Vol. 19; no. 9; pp. e302 - e312
Main Authors Franklinos, Lydia H V, Jones, Kate E, Redding, David W, Abubakar, Ibrahim
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published United States Elsevier Ltd 01.09.2019
Elsevier Limited
Subjects
Agriculture
Aquatic insects
Built Environment
Climate Change
Climate models
Climatic conditions
Computer Simulation
Conservation of Natural Resources
Councils
Dengue - epidemiology
Disease
Epidemiology
Fever
Global Health
Health risks
Humans
Humidity
Infectious diseases
Land use
Literature reviews
Malaria - epidemiology
Medical research
Mosquito Vectors
Mosquitoes
New technology
Pathogens
Precipitation
Remote sensing
Socioeconomic Factors
System dynamics
Tropical diseases
Urbanization
Vector Borne Diseases - epidemiology
Vector-borne diseases
Vectors (Biology)
Zika virus
United Kingdom > UK
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Summary:More than 80% of the global population is at risk of a vector-borne disease, with mosquito-borne diseases being the largest contributor to human vector-borne disease burden. Although many global processes, such as land-use and socioeconomic change, are thought to affect mosquito-borne disease dynamics, research to date has strongly focused on the role of climate change. Here, we show, through a review of contemporary modelling studies, that no consensus on how future changes in climatic conditions will impact mosquito-borne diseases exists, possibly due to interacting effects of other global change processes, which are often excluded from analyses. We conclude that research should not focus solely on the role of climate change but instead consider growing evidence for additional factors that modulate disease risk. Furthermore, future research should adopt new technologies, including developments in remote sensing and system dynamics modelling techniques, to enable a better understanding and mitigation of mosquito-borne diseases in a changing world.
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ISSN:1473-3099
1474-4457
1474-4457
DOI:10.1016/S1473-3099(19)30161-6