A reconstruction of early cryptic COVID spread

• Published in: Nature (London) Vol. 600; no. 7887; pp. 40 - 41
• Main Authors: Cauchemez, Simon, Bosetti, Paolo
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: London Nature Publishing Group UK 02.12.2021; Nature Publishing Group
• Subjects: 631/326/596/4130; 692/700/478/174; Biological models (mathematics); Coronaviruses; COVID-19; Disease transmission; Epidemiology; Health surveillance; Humanities and Social Sciences; Humans; Infections; Lethality; multidisciplinary; News And Views; Pandemics; Phylogeny; Randomness; SARS-CoV-2; Science; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; Viral diseases; Viral infections; Viruses; Italy; France; United States > US; China; Europe; Epidemiology; SARS-CoV-2

To respond better to future pandemics, we must understand how the SARS-CoV-2 virus dispersed so rapidly. A model of COVID-19 spread sheds light on cryptic transmission, undetected by surveillance efforts, in early 2020. Modelling undetected cases of infection at the start of the pandemic.