A reconstruction of early cryptic COVID spread

To respond better to future pandemics, we must understand how the SARS-CoV-2 virus dispersed so rapidly. A model of COVID-19 spread sheds light on cryptic transmission, undetected by surveillance efforts, in early 2020. Modelling undetected cases of infection at the start of the pandemic.

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Bibliographic Details
Published inNature (London) Vol. 600; no. 7887; pp. 40 - 41
Main Authors Cauchemez, Simon, Bosetti, Paolo
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published London Nature Publishing Group UK 02.12.2021
Nature Publishing Group
Subjects
631/326/596/4130
692/700/478/174
Biological models (mathematics)
Coronaviruses
COVID-19
Disease transmission
Epidemiology
Health surveillance
Humanities and Social Sciences
Humans
Infections
Lethality
multidisciplinary
News And Views
Pandemics
Phylogeny
Randomness
SARS-CoV-2
Science
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2
Viral diseases
Viral infections
Viruses
Italy
France
United States > US
China
Europe
Epidemiology
SARS-CoV-2
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Summary:To respond better to future pandemics, we must understand how the SARS-CoV-2 virus dispersed so rapidly. A model of COVID-19 spread sheds light on cryptic transmission, undetected by surveillance efforts, in early 2020. Modelling undetected cases of infection at the start of the pandemic.
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ISSN:0028-0836
1476-4687
1476-4687
DOI:10.1038/d41586-021-02989-3