A systematic review and meta-analysis of ambient temperature and precipitation with infections from five food-borne bacterial pathogens

• Published in: Epidemiology and infection Vol. 152; p. e98
• Main Authors: Manchal, Naveen, Young, Megan K., Castellanos, Maria Eugenia, Leggat, Peter, Adegboye, Oyelola
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Cambridge, UK Cambridge University Press 22.08.2024
• Subjects: Ambient temperature; Antibiotics; Bacteremia; Bacteremia - epidemiology; Bacteremia - microbiology; Bacteria; Bias; Campylobacter; Cholera; Climate; Climate change; Climate studies; Extreme weather; Food; Foodborne Diseases - epidemiology; Foodborne Diseases - microbiology; Foodborne pathogens; Gastroenteritis; Gastroenteritis - epidemiology; Gastroenteritis - microbiology; Humans; Incidence; Infections; Listeria; Meta-analysis; Morbidity; Pathogens; Precipitation; Rain; Review; Salmonella; Shigella; Systematic review; Temperature; Variables; Vibrio; United Kingdom > UK; United States > US; Europe; Africa; temperature; precipitation; infectious disease; Gastroenteritis; bacteraemia
• ISSN: 0950-2688; 1469-4409; 1469-4409
• DOI: 10.1017/S0950268824000839

Studies on climate variables and food pathogens are either pathogen- or region-specific, necessitating a consolidated view on the subject. This study aims to systematically review all studies on the association of ambient temperature and precipitation on the incidence of gastroenteritis and bacteraemia from Salmonella, Shigella, Campylobacter, Vibrio, and Listeria species. PubMed, Ovid MEDLINE, Scopus, and Web of Science databases were searched up to 9 March 2023. We screened 3,204 articles for eligibility and included 83 studies in the review and three in the meta-analysis. Except for one study on Campylobacter, all showed a positive association between temperature and Salmonella, Shigella, Vibrio sp., and Campylobacter gastroenteritis. Similarly, most of the included studies showed that precipitation was positively associated with these conditions. These positive associations were found regardless of the effect measure chosen. The pooled incidence rate ratio (IRR) for the three studies that included bacteraemia from Campylobacter and Salmonella sp. was 1.05 (95 per cent confidence interval (95% CI): 1.03, 1.06) for extreme temperature and 1.09 (95% CI: 0.99, 1.19) for extreme precipitation. If current climate trends continue, our findings suggest these pathogens would increase patient morbidity, the need for hospitalization, and prolonged antibiotic courses.