Risk Factors for Mortality in 244 Older Adults With COVID‐19 in Wuhan, China: A Retrospective Study

• Published in: Journal of the American Geriatrics Society (JAGS) Vol. 68; no. 6; pp. E19 - E23
• Main Authors: Sun, Haiying, Ning, Ruoqi, Tao, Yu, Yu, Chong, Deng, Xiaoyan, Zhao, Caili, Meng, Silu, Tang, Fangxu, Xu, Dong
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Hoboken, USA John Wiley & Sons, Inc 01.06.2020; Wiley Subscription Services, Inc
• Subjects: Age Factors; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Betacoronavirus; Brief Report; Case-Control Studies; China - epidemiology; Coronaviridae; Coronavirus Infections - mortality; Coronavirus Infections - virology; Coronaviruses; COVID-19; COVID‐19‐Related Content; Death; Electronic medical records; Female; Fever; Hospital Mortality; Humans; Laboratories; Logistic Models; Lymphocytes; Male; Middle Aged; Mortality; mortalityolder patientsrisk factors; Older people; Pandemics; Patient Admission - statistics & numerical data; Patient Discharge - statistics & numerical data; Patients; Pneumonia, Viral - mortality; Pneumonia, Viral - virology; Prognosis; Retrospective Studies; Risk Factors; ROC Curve; SARS-CoV-2; Severe acute respiratory syndrome; China; Wuhan China; COVID-19; mortalityolder patientsrisk factors
• ISSN: 0002-8614; 1532-5415; 1532-5415
• DOI: 10.1111/jgs.16533

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES Previous studies have reported that older patients may experience worse outcome(s) after infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus‐2 than younger individuals. This study aimed to identify potential risk factors for mortality in older patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID‐19) on admission, which may help identify those with poor prognosis at an early stage. DESIGN Retrospective case‐control. SETTING Fever ward of Sino‐French New City Branch of Tongji Hospital, Wuhan, China. PARTICIPANTS Patients aged 60 years or older with COVID‐19 (n = 244) were included, of whom 123 were discharged and 121 died in hospital. MEASUREMENTS Data retrieved from electronic medical records regarding symptoms, signs, and laboratory findings on admission, and final outcomes of all older patients with COVID‐19, were retrospectively reviewed. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to explore risk factors for death. RESULTS Univariate analysis revealed that several clinical characteristics and laboratory variables were significantly different (ie, P < .05) between discharged and deceased patients. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that lymphocyte (LYM) count (odds ratio [OR] = 0.009; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.001‐0.138; P = .001) and older age (OR = 1.122; 95% CI = 1.007‐1.249; P = .037) were independently associated with hospital mortality. White blood cell count was also an important risk factor (P = .052). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in the logistic regression model was 0.913. Risk factors for in‐hospital death were similar between older men and women. CONCLUSION Older age and lower LYM count on admission were associated with death in hospitalized COVID‐19 patients. Stringent monitoring and early intervention are needed to reduce mortality in these patients. J Am Geriatr Soc 68:E19–E23, 2020.