Associations of hurricane exposure and forecasting with impaired birth outcomes

Early forecasts give people in a storm’s path time to prepare. Less is known about the cost to society when forecasts are incorrect. In this observational study, we examine over 700,000 births in the path of Hurricane Irene and find exposure was associated with impaired birth outcomes. Additional wa...

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Published inNature communications Vol. 13; no. 1; p. 6746
Main Authors Hochard, Jacob, Li, Yuanhao, Abashidze, Nino
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published London Nature Publishing Group UK 08.11.2022
Nature Publishing Group
Nature Portfolio
Subjects
692/499
692/700/478
706/689/159
706/689/2788
Birth
Births
Cyclonic Storms
Disasters
Exposure
Female
Forecasting
Humanities and Social Sciences
Humans
Hurricanes
Impact damage
Infant, Newborn
multidisciplinary
Observational studies
Pregnancy
Premature birth
Premature Birth - epidemiology
Risk Factors
Science
Science (multidisciplinary)
Storm damage
Storms
Warning systems
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Abstract Early forecasts give people in a storm’s path time to prepare. Less is known about the cost to society when forecasts are incorrect. In this observational study, we examine over 700,000 births in the path of Hurricane Irene and find exposure was associated with impaired birth outcomes. Additional warning time was associated with decreased preterm birth rates for women who experienced intense storm exposures documenting a benefit of avoiding a type II forecasting error. A larger share of this at-risk population experienced a type I forecasting error where severe physical storm impacts were anticipated but not experienced. Disaster anticipation disrupted healthcare services by delaying and canceling prenatal care, which may contribute to storm-impacted birth outcomes. Recognizing storm damages depend on human responses to predicted storm paths is critical to supporting the next generation’s developmental potential with judicious forecasts that ensure public warning systems mitigate rather than exacerbate climate damages. Early forecasts give people in a storm’s path time to prepare, but less is known about the cost to society when forecasts are incorrect. In this observational study, the authors examine over 700,000 births in the path of Hurricane Irene and find exposure was associated with impaired birth outcomes.
AbstractList Early forecasts give people in a storm’s path time to prepare. Less is known about the cost to society when forecasts are incorrect. In this observational study, we examine over 700,000 births in the path of Hurricane Irene and find exposure was associated with impaired birth outcomes. Additional warning time was associated with decreased preterm birth rates for women who experienced intense storm exposures documenting a benefit of avoiding a type II forecasting error. A larger share of this at-risk population experienced a type I forecasting error where severe physical storm impacts were anticipated but not experienced. Disaster anticipation disrupted healthcare services by delaying and canceling prenatal care, which may contribute to storm-impacted birth outcomes. Recognizing storm damages depend on human responses to predicted storm paths is critical to supporting the next generation’s developmental potential with judicious forecasts that ensure public warning systems mitigate rather than exacerbate climate damages.Early forecasts give people in a storm’s path time to prepare, but less is known about the cost to society when forecasts are incorrect. In this observational study, the authors examine over 700,000 births in the path of Hurricane Irene and find exposure was associated with impaired birth outcomes.
Early forecasts give people in a storm’s path time to prepare. Less is known about the cost to society when forecasts are incorrect. In this observational study, we examine over 700,000 births in the path of Hurricane Irene and find exposure was associated with impaired birth outcomes. Additional warning time was associated with decreased preterm birth rates for women who experienced intense storm exposures documenting a benefit of avoiding a type II forecasting error. A larger share of this at-risk population experienced a type I forecasting error where severe physical storm impacts were anticipated but not experienced. Disaster anticipation disrupted healthcare services by delaying and canceling prenatal care, which may contribute to storm-impacted birth outcomes. Recognizing storm damages depend on human responses to predicted storm paths is critical to supporting the next generation’s developmental potential with judicious forecasts that ensure public warning systems mitigate rather than exacerbate climate damages. Early forecasts give people in a storm’s path time to prepare, but less is known about the cost to society when forecasts are incorrect. In this observational study, the authors examine over 700,000 births in the path of Hurricane Irene and find exposure was associated with impaired birth outcomes.
Early forecasts give people in a storm’s path time to prepare, but less is known about the cost to society when forecasts are incorrect. In this observational study, the authors examine over 700,000 births in the path of Hurricane Irene and find exposure was associated with impaired birth outcomes.
Abstract Early forecasts give people in a storm’s path time to prepare. Less is known about the cost to society when forecasts are incorrect. In this observational study, we examine over 700,000 births in the path of Hurricane Irene and find exposure was associated with impaired birth outcomes. Additional warning time was associated with decreased preterm birth rates for women who experienced intense storm exposures documenting a benefit of avoiding a type II forecasting error. A larger share of this at-risk population experienced a type I forecasting error where severe physical storm impacts were anticipated but not experienced. Disaster anticipation disrupted healthcare services by delaying and canceling prenatal care, which may contribute to storm-impacted birth outcomes. Recognizing storm damages depend on human responses to predicted storm paths is critical to supporting the next generation’s developmental potential with judicious forecasts that ensure public warning systems mitigate rather than exacerbate climate damages.
Early forecasts give people in a storm's path time to prepare. Less is known about the cost to society when forecasts are incorrect. In this observational study, we examine over 700,000 births in the path of Hurricane Irene and find exposure was associated with impaired birth outcomes. Additional warning time was associated with decreased preterm birth rates for women who experienced intense storm exposures documenting a benefit of avoiding a type II forecasting error. A larger share of this at-risk population experienced a type I forecasting error where severe physical storm impacts were anticipated but not experienced. Disaster anticipation disrupted healthcare services by delaying and canceling prenatal care, which may contribute to storm-impacted birth outcomes. Recognizing storm damages depend on human responses to predicted storm paths is critical to supporting the next generation's developmental potential with judicious forecasts that ensure public warning systems mitigate rather than exacerbate climate damages.
ArticleNumber 6746
Author Hochard, Jacob
Li, Yuanhao
Abashidze, Nino
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– volume: 117
  start-page: 12595
  year: 2020
  ident: 33865_CR14
  publication-title: Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA
  doi: 10.1073/pnas.2006706117
  contributor:
    fullname: EJ Raker
– volume: 117
  start-page: 25200
  year: 2020
  ident: 33865_CR15
  publication-title: Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA
  doi: 10.1073/pnas.2013204117
  contributor:
    fullname: QX Ng
– volume: 110
  start-page: 12265
  year: 2013
  ident: 33865_CR44
  publication-title: Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA
  doi: 10.1073/pnas.1307582110
  contributor:
    fullname: J Currie
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Snippet Early forecasts give people in a storm’s path time to prepare. Less is known about the cost to society when forecasts are incorrect. In this observational...
Early forecasts give people in a storm's path time to prepare. Less is known about the cost to society when forecasts are incorrect. In this observational...
Abstract Early forecasts give people in a storm’s path time to prepare. Less is known about the cost to society when forecasts are incorrect. In this...
Early forecasts give people in a storm’s path time to prepare, but less is known about the cost to society when forecasts are incorrect. In this observational...
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StartPage 6746
SubjectTerms 692/499
692/700/478
706/689/159
706/689/2788
Birth
Births
Cyclonic Storms
Disasters
Exposure
Female
Forecasting
Humanities and Social Sciences
Humans
Hurricanes
Impact damage
Infant, Newborn
multidisciplinary
Observational studies
Pregnancy
Premature birth
Premature Birth - epidemiology
Risk Factors
Science
Science (multidisciplinary)
Storm damage
Storms
Warning systems
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Title Associations of hurricane exposure and forecasting with impaired birth outcomes
URI https://link.springer.com/article/10.1038/s41467-022-33865-x
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36347839
https://www.proquest.com/docview/2733868626
https://search.proquest.com/docview/2734616012
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/PMC9643368
https://doaj.org/article/4fbde06f9ca64fee8b94bbf7e551b455
Volume 13
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