Scenarios in an organizational perspective

In everyday life there are many kinds of scenarios—those embracing society as a whole, and those limited to the local community centre. There is considerable variation in scenario subject matter, range, level and degree of detail. 1 Why have scenarios become so popular and which organizational arran...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inFutures : the journal of policy, planning and futures studies Vol. 19; no. 6; pp. 669 - 677
Main Authors Becker, Henk A., van Doorn, Joseph W.M.
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Guilford, Eng Elsevier Ltd 01.12.1987
Butterworths
Elsevier Science Ltd
Subjects
Advantages
Disadvantages
Forecasting techniques
Future
Futures (of Society)
Organizations (Groups)
Policy Analysis
Policy making
Policymaking
Social research
Strategic planning
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Summary:In everyday life there are many kinds of scenarios—those embracing society as a whole, and those limited to the local community centre. There is considerable variation in scenario subject matter, range, level and degree of detail. 1 Why have scenarios become so popular and which organizational arrangements have been created to design and implement this kind of policy-oriented futures research? This article looks at both elements of this question. It examines policy-oriented futures research in general, and scenarios as part of this type of research. It then discusses organizational structures for designing and applying scenarios. Following this, the strong and weak points of scenarios in policy formulation are explored and a number of conclusions are drawn.
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ISSN:0016-3287
1873-6378
DOI:10.1016/0016-3287(87)90083-8