Evaluation of Framingham and Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation Scores by Coronary Computed Tomographic Angiography in Asymptomatic Adults

• Published in: The American journal of cardiology Vol. 111; no. 5; pp. 700 - 704
• Main Authors: Schneer, Sonya, MD, Bachar, Gil N., MD, Atar, Eli, MD, Koronowski, Ran, MD, Dicker, Dror, MD
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: United States Elsevier Inc 01.03.2013; Elsevier Limited
• Subjects: Adult; Age; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Blood pressure; Cardiovascular; Cardiovascular disease; Cholesterol; Contrast agents; Coronary Angiography - methods; Coronary Artery Disease - diagnostic imaging; Coronary Artery Disease - epidemiology; Cross-Sectional Studies; Diabetes; Disease prevention; Early Diagnosis; Female; Gender; Heart rate; Humans; Incidence; Israel - epidemiology; Lipoproteins; Male; Medical imaging; Middle Aged; Mortality; Population; Retrospective Studies; Risk assessment; Risk Assessment - methods; Risk factors; Tomography, X-Ray Computed
• ISSN: 0002-9149; 1879-1913
• DOI: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2012.11.023

Recently, coronary computed tomographic angiography (CCTA) was introduced as a tool for the early detection of coronary atherosclerosis. However, a disagreement exists regarding the accuracy of CCTA for the prediction of future cardiovascular risk compared to conventional clinical risks scores (e.g., Framingham and Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation [SCORE] scores). The aim of the present study was to compare these 2 methods in asymptomatic Israeli subjects. CCTA was performed in 190 asymptomatic patients with ≥1 atherogenic risk factor as the primary screening tool for the presence of cardiovascular disease. The calcium score (CS) was measured in these subjects as a part of CCTA. In addition, the Framingham and SCORE scores were calculated, and statistical analysis using regression models was performed. The study included 190 subjects (84% men). The mean age was 55 ± 9.7 years. A significant correlation with the CS and plaque severity detected by CCTA was found when comparing the risk factors calculated by the SCORE and Framingham scores. A SCORE calculation of >2 versus <2 was related to a greater incidence of a CS >100 (42.9% vs 21.9; odds ratio [OR] 2.68, p = 0.001). When comparing high-risk (>4) and low-risk (<4) SCORE scores, the risk of atherosclerosis per CCTA was 50% versus 27.1% respectively (OR 2.7, p = 0.001). A high-risk Framingham (>20) versus low-risk Framingham (<20) score was related to a greater incidence of CS >100 (53.3% vs 28.6%; OR 3.18, p = 0.001). A high-risk versus low-risk SCORE score was related to greater plaque severity (79.2% vs 59.4%, respectively; OR 2.6, p = 0.001). A high-risk versus low-risk Framingham score was also related to greater plaque severity (93.3% vs 59%, respectively; OR 3.18, p = 0.001). The variables best predicting the severity of artery stenosis were age, gender, diabetes, and hypertension. In conclusion, the results of the present study indicate that the results of the Framingham and SCORE scores compared to those obtained using CCTA are good predictors of coronary artery disease. The use of these clinical scores seems important in identifying patients at risk of coronary atherosclerosis and treating them properly before the development of symptoms and also to help prevent the use of unnecessary invasive procedures.