Evaluating Small-Area Population Projections

Methods for evaluating small-area population projections have received little attention but are critical to their development and use. A model, illustrative measures and methods for evaluating small-area projections, and examples of the evaluation process are presented. Although the accuracy of proj...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published inJournal of the American Planning Association Vol. 57; no. 4; pp. 432 - 443
Main Authors Murdock, Steve H., Hamm, Rita R., Voss, Paul R., Fannin, Darrell, Pecotte, Beverly
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Chicago Taylor & Francis Group 01.10.1991
American Planning Association
Taylor & Francis Inc
Subjects
Censuses
Characteristics
Comparative analysis
Demographics
Evaluation
Forecasting techniques
Future
Population
Population growth
Population projections
Rural areas
Statistical data
United States
United States > US
Online AccessGet full text

Cover

More Information
Summary:Methods for evaluating small-area population projections have received little attention but are critical to their development and use. A model, illustrative measures and methods for evaluating small-area projections, and examples of the evaluation process are presented. Although the accuracy of projections of future populations is impossible to determine, the internal and external consistency of the projections can be evaluated by comparing projections to the physical, socioeconomic, and demographic characteristics of the projection area; the characteristics of contextual and comparison areas; and the computational structure, parameter assumptions, and data used in the projection method.
Bibliography:ObjectType-Article-2
SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
ObjectType-Feature-1
content type line 23
ObjectType-Article-1
ObjectType-Feature-2
ISSN:0194-4363
1939-0130
DOI:10.1080/01944369108975518