Spatial analysis of rainfall trends in the region of Valencia (east Spain)

• Published in: International journal of climatology Vol. 20; no. 12; pp. 1451 - 1469
• Main Authors: De Luís, M., Raventós, J., González‐Hidalgo, J.C., Sánchez, J.R., Cortina, J.
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Chichester, UK John Wiley & Sons, Ltd 01.10.2000; Wiley
• Subjects: Cramér–von Mises test; desertification; Earth, ocean, space; Exact sciences and technology; External geophysics; Mediterranean; Meteorology; rainfall trends; rainfall variability; spatial analysis; Spearman test; Water in the atmosphere (humidity, clouds, evaporation, precipitation); Europe; Mediterranean Basin; Spain; Valencia, Spain; Spatial analysis; Statistical test; Rain; Kriging; Trend analysis; Desertification
• ISSN: 0899-8418; 1097-0088
• DOI: 10.1002/1097-0088(200010)20:12<1451::AID-JOC547>3.0.CO;2-0

This paper examines the spatial and temporal rainfall characteristics of the region of Valencia, Western Mediterranean Basin (east Spain), during the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) normal period 1961–1990. The study used a dense and homogeneous daily precipitation database comprising 97 rain‐gauge stations. Total and monthly rainfall concentrations have been studied in the context of their mean values, interannual variability and spatial diversification. Trends have been analysed using both parametric and non‐parametric tests. In order to establish the spatial distribution of rainfall patterns and to detect homogeneous areas with similar rainfall evolution, a statistic based on the Cramér–von Mises test is proposed. The kriging interpolation methods for characterizing the magnitude of observed changes is used. Areas with contrasting rainfall evolution are identified. In more humid areas, a significant decrease in annual rainfall associated with significant increases in interannual rainfall variability is observed. In inland zones, decreases in total annual rainfall and increases in interannual variability are less clear, but there are indications of an increase in monthly rainfall concentration. In these inland zones, where more forest and woodland areas are located and forest fires are frequent, the observed trends could greatly affect desertification through changes in the disturbance regime. In more arid areas, local variability in rainfall evolution is higher and no significant changes can be defined. Copyright © 2000 Royal Meteorological Society