A brief history of forecasting competitions

Forecasting competitions are now so widespread that it is often forgotten how controversial they were when first held, and how influential they have been over the years. I briefly review the history of forecasting competitions, and discuss what we have learned about their design and implementation,...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inInternational journal of forecasting Vol. 36; no. 1; pp. 7 - 14
Main Author Hyndman, Rob J.
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Elsevier B.V 01.01.2020
Subjects
Evaluation
Forecasting accuracy
Kaggle
M competitions
Neural networks
Prediction intervals
Probability scoring
Time series
Evaluation
Prediction intervals
M competitions
Neural networks
Forecasting accuracy
Time series
Probability scoring
Kaggle
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Summary:Forecasting competitions are now so widespread that it is often forgotten how controversial they were when first held, and how influential they have been over the years. I briefly review the history of forecasting competitions, and discuss what we have learned about their design and implementation, and what they can tell us about forecasting. I also provide a few suggestions for potential future competitions, and for research about forecasting based on competitions.
ISSN:0169-2070
1872-8200
DOI:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.03.015