From concept drift to model degradation: An overview on performance-aware drift detectors

• Published in: Knowledge-based systems Vol. 245; p. 108632
• Main Authors: Bayram, Firas, Ahmed, Bestoun S., Kassler, Andreas
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Amsterdam Elsevier B.V 07.06.2022; Elsevier Science Ltd
• Subjects: Computer Science; Concept drift; Data stream; Datavetenskap; Drift; Machine learning; Model degradation; Nonstationary environments; Performance degradation; Performance evaluation; Performance prediction; Prediction models; Taxonomy; Data stream; Model degradation; Concept drift; Machine learning
• ISSN: 0950-7051; 1872-7409; 1872-7409
• DOI: 10.1016/j.knosys.2022.108632

The dynamicity of real-world systems poses a significant challenge to deployed predictive machine learning (ML) models. Changes in the system on which the ML model has been trained may lead to performance degradation during the system’s life cycle. Recent advances that study non-stationary environments have mainly focused on identifying and addressing such changes caused by a phenomenon called concept drift. Different terms have been used in the literature to refer to the same type of concept drift and the same term for various types. This lack of unified terminology is set out to create confusion on distinguishing between different concept drift variants. In this paper, we start by grouping concept drift types by their mathematical definitions and survey the different terms used in the literature to build a consolidated taxonomy of the field. We also review and classify performance-based concept drift detection methods proposed in the last decade. These methods utilize the predictive model’s performance degradation to signal substantial changes in the systems. The classification is outlined in a hierarchical diagram to provide an orderly navigation between the methods. We present a comprehensive analysis of the main attributes and strategies for tracking and evaluating the model’s performance in the predictive system. The paper concludes by discussing open research challenges and possible research directions. •A new taxonomical classification of concept drift types.•Providing a classification hierarchy of performance-based detection methods.•Identifying research gaps and trends in performance-based detection methods.•Suggesting future research directions in concept drift detection based on the findings.