Assessing causal inference problems with Bayesian process tracing: the economic effects of proportional representation and the problem of endogeneity

In recent years, causal process tracing is becoming increasingly formalised as scholars have begun to follow Bayesian logic and thereby manage to combine the interpretative and contextual nuance of older forms of process tracing with the inferential rigours of Bayesian analysis. This paper illustrat...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published inNew political economy Vol. 21; no. 5; pp. 473 - 483
Main Author Kreuzer, Marcus
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Abingdon Routledge 02.09.2016
Taylor & Francis Ltd
Subjects
Bayesian analysis
Bayesianism
Economic models
Elections
electoral system choice
Electoral systems
endogeneity
Inference
Intellectuals
Political economy
Process tracing
Proportional representation
Social policy
Online AccessGet full text

Cover

More Information
Summary:In recent years, causal process tracing is becoming increasingly formalised as scholars have begun to follow Bayesian logic and thereby manage to combine the interpretative and contextual nuance of older forms of process tracing with the inferential rigours of Bayesian analysis. This paper illustrates the basic logic of Bayesian process tracing by drawing on the political economy literature that studies the social policy and economic effects of electoral systems. It compares and contrasts how each approach deals with the problem of endogeneity.
ISSN:1356-3467
1469-9923
DOI:10.1080/13563467.2015.1134467