An ecosystem risk assessment of temperate and tropical forests of the Americas with an outlook on future conservation strategies

• Published in: Conservation letters Vol. 12; no. 2
• Main Authors: Ferrer‐Paris, José Rafael, Zager, Irene, Keith, David A., Oliveira‐Miranda, María A., Rodríguez, Jon Paul, Josse, Carmen, González‐Gil, Mario, Miller, Rebecca M., Zambrana‐Torrelio, Carlos, Barrow, Edmund
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Washington John Wiley & Sons, Inc 01.03.2019
• Subjects: Biodiversity; Caribbean; Climate change; conservation actions; conservation goals; Cost analysis; cost effectiveness; cost‐efficiency analysis; Deforestation; Dry forests; Ecological function; Ecosystem assessment; ecosystem collapse; ecosystem risk assessment; Ecosystems; Endangered species; Environmental economics; Forest ecosystems; Forest management; forest management and conservation; Forest protection; forest types; human population; Human populations; IUCN Red List of ecosystems; Land use; North America; relative risk; Remote sensing; Risk assessment; Risk reduction; South America; Strategic planning; Surface water; temperate forest; Terrestrial ecosystems; threat score; Threats; Time series; Trends; tropical dry forests; tropical forest; Tropical forests; Vegetation; Woodlands; South America; Caribbean; North America
• ISSN: 1755-263X; 1755-263X
• DOI: 10.1111/conl.12623

Forests of the Americas and the Caribbean are undergoing rapid change as human populations increase and land use intensifies. We applied the IUCN Red List of Ecosystems (RLE) criteria and simple cost‐efficiency analyses to provide the first regional perspective on patterns of relative risk integrated across multiple threats. Based on six indicators of ecosystem distribution and function, we find that 80% of the forest types and 85% of the current forest area is potentially threatened based on RLE criteria. Twelve forest types are Critically Endangered due to past or projected future deforestation, and Tropical Dry Forests and Woodland have highest threat scores. To efficiently reduce risks to forest ecosystems at national levels, scenario analyses show that countries would need to combine large forest protection measures with focused actions, tailored to their sociopolitical context, to help restore ecological functions in a selection of threatened forest types.