A methodology for estimating hospital bed need in Manitoba in 2020

A team of health researchers of the Manitoba Centre for Health Policy at the University of Manitoba was asked to forecast the number of acute care hospital beds that will be required to meet the needs of residents of the province of Manitoba by the year 2020. Methodological considerations for this r...

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Published inCanadian journal on aging Vol. 24 Suppl 1; p. 141
Main Authors Tate, Robert B, MacWilliam, Leonard, Finlayson, Gregory S
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Canada 01.01.2005
Subjects
Adolescent
Adult
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Female
Forecasting
Hospital Bed Capacity - statistics & numerical data
Humans
Male
Manitoba
Middle Aged
Needs Assessment
Manitoba
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Summary:A team of health researchers of the Manitoba Centre for Health Policy at the University of Manitoba was asked to forecast the number of acute care hospital beds that will be required to meet the needs of residents of the province of Manitoba by the year 2020. Methodological considerations for this request included identification of factors expected to affect bed use in the future, and how to account for these factors. The objective of this paper is to describe these methodological considerations, how decisions were made, and steps taken in our approach to this problem. The actual projections and their implications are the subject of another contribution in this issue of the journal (Finlayson, Stewart, Tate, MacWilliam & Roos, 2005).
ISSN:0714-9808
DOI:10.1353/cja.2005.0056