Comprehensive risk assessment for identifying suitable residential zones in Manavgat, Mediterranean Region

• Published in: Evaluation and program planning Vol. 106; p. 102465
• Main Authors: Dogan, Sedat, Kilicoglu, Cem, Akinci, Halil, Sevik, Hakan, Cetin, Mehmet, Kocan, Nurhan
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: England Elsevier Ltd 01.10.2024
• Subjects: Biocomfort; City Planning; Climate Change; GIS; Humans; Machine Learning; Manavgat; Mediterranean Region; Natural Disasters; Risk Assessment; Mediterranean Region; GIS; Manavgat; Biocomfort; Natural Disasters; Machine Learning
• ISSN: 0149-7189; 1873-7870
• DOI: 10.1016/j.evalprogplan.2024.102465

The absence of comprehensive risk analysis in residential development within certain regions often leads to substantial human and material losses during natural disasters. The Mediterranean region, particularly susceptible to the impacts of climate change, is projected to witness an upsurge in the frequency of natural calamities like floods, landslides, and forest fires. Consequently, meticulous risk assessment during the selection of residential areas becomes paramount in this context. This study is dedicated to the evaluation of suitable residential zones in Manavgat, a pivotal location in the Mediterranean region with a progressively growing population. The findings indicate that approximately 4.26 % of the research area is deemed appropriate for residential establishment. The identification of these locations is crucial for ensuring human and material safety, as well as enhancing overall biocomfort. Moreover, this study provides a foundation for long-term planning initiatives within the region and makes a significant contribution to the international evaluation literature by demonstrating the application of integrated risk assessment methodologies in urban planning. •Mediterranean region's risk analysis for residential development.•Manavgat study identifies 4.26 % suitable for habitation.•Integrated risk assessment crucial for safe urban planning.•Multi-risk factors evaluated: overflow, landslide, forest fire.•Study contributes to safety, sustainability, informed decisions.