Voter Profiles and Fragmentation in the Turkish Party System

Based on the multinomial logit estimates of an individual vote intention function, we perform restriction tests to make pairwise comparisons of the voter profiles of the major political parties in Turkey. The economic variables in the model are items that represent the well known hypotheses of econo...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inParty politics Vol. 10; no. 3; pp. 307 - 324
Main Authors Baslevent, Cem, Kirmanoglu, Hasan, Senatalar, Burhan
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published London SAGE Publications 01.05.2004
Sage Publications Ltd
Subjects
Comparative analysis
Demography
Economic Factors
Electoral Systems
Estimation
Party systems
Political Parties
Political science
Profiles
Sociodemographic Factors
Turkey
Voters
Voting Behavior
Voting behaviour
Turkey
fragmentation Turkish
party system
voter profiles
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Summary:Based on the multinomial logit estimates of an individual vote intention function, we perform restriction tests to make pairwise comparisons of the voter profiles of the major political parties in Turkey. The economic variables in the model are items that represent the well known hypotheses of economic voting theory, i.e. whether individuals vote retrospectively and/or prospectively, and whether they are sociotropic and/or pocketbook. The non-economic factors include socio-demographic characteristics as well as issues and identity variables that are likely to be good predictors of the party choice. In many cases, restriction tests provide evidence refuting the general view that the Turkish party system is artificially fragmented.
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ISSN:1354-0688
1460-3683
DOI:10.1177/1354068804042461