Fuzzy time series forecasting method based on Gustafson–Kessel fuzzy clustering

► A new fuzzy time series forecasting algorithm proposed. ► Proposed method used Gustafson-Kessel fuzzy clustering method in fuzzification stage. ► Proposed method was applied to enrollment data. ► Proposed method is outperformed many methods in the literature. Fuzzy time series approaches have bein...

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Published inExpert systems with applications Vol. 38; no. 8; pp. 10355 - 10357
Main Authors Egrioglu, E., Aladag, C.H., Yolcu, U., Uslu, V.R., Erilli, N.A.
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Elsevier Ltd 01.08.2011
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Summary:► A new fuzzy time series forecasting algorithm proposed. ► Proposed method used Gustafson-Kessel fuzzy clustering method in fuzzification stage. ► Proposed method was applied to enrollment data. ► Proposed method is outperformed many methods in the literature. Fuzzy time series approaches have being increasingly attracted researchers’ attentions. The procedures on fuzzy time series actually consist of three stages; fuzzification, determination of fuzzy relations and defuzzification. Researches are generally concentrated on these stages and about improving them. In this study, we propose a new approach, which combines several techniques. In this approach, Gustafson–Kessel, which is a fuzzy clustering technique, is being used to fuzzification of time series. The proposed method is compared with the approaches in literature.
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ISSN:0957-4174
1873-6793
DOI:10.1016/j.eswa.2011.02.052