A dynamic model of suicide terrorism and political mobilization

This study considers the problem of suicide terrorism, government counterterror responses, and the mobilization of recruits in support of the contending parties. A model is developed that enables predictions as to what factors should be emphasized or de-emphasized by the forces protecting society. T...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inInternational political science review Vol. 36; no. 5; pp. 562 - 577
Main Authors Geller, Daniel S., Saperstein, Alvin M.
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published London, England Sage Publications 01.11.2015
SAGE Publications
Sage Publications Ltd
Subjects
Conflict
Counterterrorism
Mathematical analysis
Mobilization
Population policy
Predictions
Suicide
Suicide bombings
Terrorism
Suicide terrorism
political mobilization
linear modeling
bandwagoning
counterterrorism
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Summary:This study considers the problem of suicide terrorism, government counterterror responses, and the mobilization of recruits in support of the contending parties. A model is developed that enables predictions as to what factors should be emphasized or de-emphasized by the forces protecting society. The article presents a linear mathematical analysis of the logical interrelationships involved in the confrontation and embeds the study within the framework of previous mathematical and empirical work on the subject. It is concluded that governments should avoid inflicting collateral damage on the general population in counterterrorist activities and should pursue policies (both in counterterrorist operations and otherwise) that contribute to the political quiescence of the populace.
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ISSN:0192-5121
1460-373X
DOI:10.1177/0192512114527856