Recent developments in population projection methodology: a review

In this paper we survey five streams of research that have made important contributions to population projection methodology over the last decade. These are: (i) the evaluation of population forecasts; (ii) probabilistic methods; (iii) experiments in the projection of migration; (iv) projecting dime...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inPopulation space and place Vol. 11; no. 5; pp. 337 - 360
Main Authors Wilson, Tom, Rees, Phil
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Chichester, UK John Wiley & Sons, Ltd 01.09.2005
Subjects
Demographic indicators
Demography
Methodology
Migration
Population dynamics
Population forecasts
Population projections
probabilistic projections
review
scenarios
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Summary:In this paper we survey five streams of research that have made important contributions to population projection methodology over the last decade. These are: (i) the evaluation of population forecasts; (ii) probabilistic methods; (iii) experiments in the projection of migration; (iv) projecting dimensions additional to age, sex and region; and (v) the use of scenarios for ‘what if?’ analyses and understanding population dynamics. Key developments in these areas are discussed, and a number of opportunities for further research are identified. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Bibliography:istex:888CBD78994D2F6A37FF20DB829018887C26F950
ark:/67375/WNG-4B1X6WG3-F
ArticleID:PSP389
ObjectType-Article-2
SourceType-Scholarly Journals-1
ObjectType-Feature-1
content type line 23
ISSN:1544-8444
1544-8452
DOI:10.1002/psp.389