Possible teleconnections between East and South Asian summer monsoon precipitation in projected future climate change

• Published in: Meteorology and atmospheric physics Vol. 131; no. 3; pp. 375 - 387
• Main Authors: Woo, Sumin, Singh, Gyan Prakash, Oh, Jai-Ho, Lee, Kyoung-Min
• Format: Journal Article
• Language: English
• Published: Vienna Springer Vienna 01.06.2019; Springer Nature B.V
• Subjects: Aquatic Pollution; Atmospheric circulation; Atmospheric Sciences; Climate change; Coefficients; Components; Correlation analysis; Correlation coefficient; Correlation coefficients; Earth and Environmental Science; Earth Sciences; Future climates; General circulation models; Math. Appl. in Environmental Science; Mean sea level; Meteorology; Moisture; Monsoon precipitation; Monsoons; Original Paper; Precipitation; Precipitation variations; Resolution; Sea level; Sea level pressure; Summer; Summer monsoon; Teleconnections; Terrestrial Pollution; Waste Water Technology; Water Management; Water Pollution Control; Wind; Wind fields; East Asia; South Asia
• ISSN: 0177-7971; 1436-5065
• DOI: 10.1007/s00703-017-0573-2

The present paper examined the teleconnections between two huge Asian summer monsoon components (South and East Asia) during three time slices in future: near-(2010–2039), mid-(2040–2069) and far-(2070–2100) futures under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. For this purpose, a high-resolution atmospheric general circulation model is used and integrated at 40 km horizontal resolution. To get more insight into the relationships between the two Asian monsoon components, we have studied the spatial displaying correlation coefficients (CCs) pattern of precipitation over the entire Asian monsoon region with that of South Asia and three regions of East Asia (North China, Korea–Japan and Southern China) separately during the same three time slices. The possible factors responsible for these teleconnections are explored by using mean sea level pressure (MSLP) and wind fields at 850 hPa. The CC pattern of precipitation over South Asia shows an in-phase relationship with North China and an out-of-phase relationship with Korea–Japan, while precipitation variations over Korea–Japan and Southern China exhibit an out-of-phase relationship with South Asia. The CCs analysis between the two Asian blocks during different time slices shows the strongest CCs during the near and far future with the RCP8.5 scenario. The CC pattern of precipitation over Korea–Japan and Southern China with the wind (at 850 hPa) and MSLP fields indicate that the major parts of the moisture over Korea–Japan gets transported from the west Pacific along the western limb of NPSH, while the moisture over Southern China comes from the Bay of Bengal and South China Seas for good monsoon activity.