Takeover activity in Australia: endogenous and exogenous influences

The present paper analyses the population of takeover bids for listed Australian companies using quarterly data over a 25‐year period to re‐examine the predictability of takeover activity and to determine if there is a flow on impact on macroeconomic variables. We examine whether takeover activity:...

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Bibliographic Details
Published inAccounting and finance (Parkville) Vol. 45; no. 3; pp. 375 - 394
Main Authors Finn, Frank, Hodgson, Allan
Format Journal Article
LanguageEnglish
Published Boston, USA and Oxford, UK Blackwell Publishing, Inc 01.11.2005
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
Subjects
Econometrics
Economic impact
Economic trends
Endogeneity
Exogeneity
G34
Impact analysis
Macroeconomic factors
Macroeconomics
Mergers
Stock prices
Studies
Takeover activity
Tender offers
Vector error correction modelling (VECM)
Australia
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Summary:The present paper analyses the population of takeover bids for listed Australian companies using quarterly data over a 25‐year period to re‐examine the predictability of takeover activity and to determine if there is a flow on impact on macroeconomic variables. We examine whether takeover activity: (i) is endogenous; that is, determined by own activity; (ii) is jointly determined by macroeconomic and capital market variables; and (iii) has an exogenous spillover impact across the economy. We find that stock prices and takeover activity share a long‐term common trend, the relative success of takeover bids is independent of sharemarket activity, and conclude that aggregate takeover activity is driven by fundamental economic factors rather than by speculative activity.
Bibliography:istex:068A2D1CF278F331D5A159978241C9885293D5D7
ArticleID:ACFI125
ark:/67375/WNG-MJ86CWWT-3
Accounting and Finance, v.45, no.3, Nov 2005: (375)-394
The authors wish to thank an anonymous reviewer of this journal, Robert Faff the Editor, Marc DeCeuster, Neil Fargher, Phil Gray, Russ Lundholm, Terry O'Keffe, Terry Walter and workshop participants at the University of Oregon for their useful comments.
ISSN:0810-5391
1467-629X
DOI:10.1111/j.1467-629x.2004.00125.x